...Very good analysis Jim, Everything in life is Cyclical, the airlines are not excluded. Everything evolves, especially if a (government) allows it to. De-reg in 1978 changed everything, in a very few hours we are going to have more major changes, which will happen very quickly and affect the Airlines and the Economy in general, especially if we have this impending war drags on for very long.... I am not happy about this war coming about either, and its effects on you and everyone on this list (I don't think we have any French people on here), and my business is off 70% or so, the war will make it worse, but I support our President wholeheartedly..... Bryant Petitt Cumming, GA In for tbe (hopefully not) longhaul... --- WaterskiPilot@xxxxxxx wrote: > A wise friend of mine said "Never burn your bridges > in aviation, your First > Officer from yesterday might be your Chief Pilot > tomorrow." You have > management, you have labor. Even Don Carty has said > (I have to paraphrase): > "Management's greatest sin is to say it's all > labor's fault." > > What I see will happen is a turnover. The "major" > carriers will become like > PA and TW of yesteryear, long haul/Int'l; today's > "jet regionals" will be the > domestics, running semi point to point ops with > small hubs at certain > airports; the "non-jet regionals" will be feeding > the old "jet regionals"; > and a new group will pop up to fill in as the > "non-jets" move into larger > equipment and markets. In 20 years, we will do it > again, as each company > becomes, in turn, too large and unwieldy to stay out > of bankruptcy and stay > solvent. > > What all this means to us (meaning labor) is that we > will make gains until > the market or management cannot bear it, then things > will cave in and a bunch > of us will get an express ride to the bottom of the > aviation feeding chain to > start over again. > > Jim Hann > Waterski J-41 Captain > Lambert-St. Louis Airport (STL/KSTL) __________________________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Platinum - Watch CBS' NCAA March Madness, live on your desktop! http://platinum.yahoo.com