Call for Contributions to Frontiers Research Topic: Volcanic Forecasting, Crisis Management, and Risk Communication

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From: FONTIJN  Karen <Karen.Fontijn@xxxxxx>


*Call for Contributions to Frontiers in Earth Sciences Research Topic:*



*Volcanic Forecasting, Crisis Management, and Risk Communication*

*Editors : Supriyati Dwi Andreastuti, Victoria Louise Miller, Heather
Michelle Wright, Karen Fontijn*





Dear Colleagues,



We would like to invite you to participate and submit a manuscript to a new
Research Topic collection for Frontiers in Earth Sciences, on â??Volcanic
Forecasting, Crisis Management, and Risk Communicationâ??. We particularly
seek contributions discussing the management of volcanic crises, spanning
the spectrum from forecasting eruptive activity to communicating risk
before, during and after a crisis, and lessons learned for future crises.
More information is copied below, and also available on a dedicated
Research Topic web page: Volcanic Forecasting, Crisis Management, and Risk
Communication | Frontiers Research Topic (frontiersin.org)
<https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.frontiersin.org/research-topics/25613/volcanic-forecasting-crisis-management-and-risk-communication*overview__;Iw!!IKRxdwAv5BmarQ!OXkEZWUVk1lPsPT-aFvLDCLtWs77SnUatSjXaaEZOfTjWLBxCv1f08UfqXHTIkM$>

All manuscripts will be assigned an editor and go through the peer-review
process. Once accepted, they will be published online with full open access
on an as-accepted basis i.e. individual articles in the collection will be
published prior to completion of the collective e-book. Article Processing
Charges are variable and may be discounted or entirely waived, depending on
your institution and constraints. For more information on these, please
contact the editors. In particular, we warmly invite contributions led by
authors from low-and-middle-income countries.

If you are interested to contribute, and/or have any questions, please do
not hesitate to get in touch with us. You can already confirm your
willingness to participate on the online platform whilst preparing your
manuscript. We would like to receive all contributions by 23rd March 2022.



Hoping to see lots of contributions from the global community,



Supriyati Andreastuti â?? Center for Volcanology and Geological Hazard
Mitigation, Indonesia

Victoria Miller â?? The University of the West Indies St Augustine, Trinidad
and Tobago

Heather Wright â?? United States Geological Survey, United States

Karen Fontijn â?? Université libre de Bruxelles, Belgium



*About this Research Topic*:

An uptake in volcanic unrest and/or eruptive activity presents a wide range
of technical and non-technical challenges to successful risk mitigation. In
a society that is densely populated and has vital and strategic assets, a
change (increase) in volcanic activity can have a social and economic
impact and, in some cases, political impact. This impact depends on the
nature and scale of unrest (including non-eruptive events) and on the
nature and scale of response. An effective operational response to volcanic
unrest is reliant upon multiple 'themes' working in union, including
volcanic forecasting, managing the response activities during the crisis
situation, and communicating the risk to multiple layers of stakeholders.


The aim of this collection is to understand complexities in dealing with
eruptions and volcanic unrest. The challenges involved will be widely
variable from place to place according to the geographical, demographical
and community background, expertise of volcanologists, previous experience
in disaster management, and â??similar languageâ?? between volcanologists,
disaster management institutions and communities.


Eruption forecasting is ideally carried out prior to eruption through a
hazard assessment and is supported by short and long-term monitoring
parameters, physical and empirical models, as well as from the history of
past eruptions. Scenarios that encompass outcomes of volcanic unrest can be
logically represented by the event tree framework, and probabilities of
each scenario can be represented on the tree. Well-supported eruption
forecasting and estimation of scenario likelihoods requires long term
studies of eruption histories, monitoring of the volcano prior to unrest to
determine baseline parameters, and an understanding of relevant volcanic
processes. Short term installation of additional monitoring equipment,
collection of additional data during unrest, and interpretation of results
and derivative models then complements the long term picture. Communication
of these forecasts must then be tailored to the audience and include
actionable information that allows decision-makers to respond.


In ideal conditions, risk mitigation during a volcano crisis will be partly
guided by an existing disaster management plan for the volcano which could
include a formulation of a contingency plan including different eruption
scenarios, protocols for risk communication, disaster training, and
evacuation drills. All these processes are supported by regulation.
Challenges happen when eruptions occur on volcanoes with long repose time
intervals, rapid changes in eruptive activity or when communities and
disaster management officials are not adequately prepared.


Risk communication during a crisis is critical to deliver accurate, timely
and meaningful information to a variety of stakeholders. The aim is to
enable the community and disaster management officials to prepare and take
appropriate action according to the information obtained. Social media is
one increasingly important tool to quickly disseminate information. The
disadvantage of this method is that misunderstanding of information can
harm the authorities and lead to misleading statements or impressions. In
some cases, an approach that respects culture, especially including local
wisdom, is traditional and time consuming but is still the best way to
build a long-term relationship with a community.


This Research Topic represents cases that can serve as lessons for disaster
management during volcanic crises. The challenges that arise in disaster
mitigation provide a picture of both good and bad practices and will
encourage us to always evaluate and prepare strategies that are better than
past experiences.


Research interests include but are not limited to, the following issues:

- Volcanic forecasting and construction of event trees;

- Crisis management, coordination and risk communication;

- Implementation of local wisdom in risk communication and crisis response;

- Cultural gap between scientists and community;

- The role of social media and its problems during volcanic crises;

- The impact of short and long-term crisis.



*Keywords*: forecasting, volcanic eruption, natural hazard, risk
mitigation, event tree, probability, unrest, scenario, crisis response,
hazard, risk communication, stakeholder, local wisdom, social media,
cultural gap, crisis communication



*Important Note*: All contributions to this Research Topic must be within
the scope of the section and journal to which they are submitted, as
defined in their mission statements. Frontiers reserves the right to guide
an out-of-scope manuscript to a more suitable section or journal at any
stage of peer review.


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End of Volcano Digest - 13 Sep 2021 to 15 Sep 2021 (#2021-85)
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