******************************************************** From: Roberto Carniel <carniel65@xxxxxxxxx> ******************************************************** Dear colleagues, we are organizing a session on ''Statistical methods and stochastic models for the estimation of volcanic hazard" at the upcoming General Assembly of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), which is to be held in Vienna, Austria, from April 13 to April 18, 2008. General information about this conference can be obtained from the official website http://meetings.copernicus.org/egu2008/ ************************************************** NH3.6 Statistical methods and stochastic models for the estimation of volcanic hazard Natural Hazards and Geochemistry, Mineralogy, Petrology & Volcanology ************************************************** Volcanic hazards are gaining relevance due to increasing societal demands. The estimation of the volcanic hazard at different time scales is of the utmost importance with the growth of population and properties worldwide in volcanic areas. As input to risk assessments, volcanic hazard constitutes the dominant source of uncertainty. The aim of this session is to discuss and present the state of the art in quantitative methods and models to estimate volcanic hazard, both from the theoretical point of view and regarding their applications to specific volcanic areas. Such applications can imply very different timescales, depending if the volcano under study is in a pre-eruptive or eruptive phase or rather in a short or long term quiescence phase. The quantification of volcanic hazard in probabilistic terms is the result of a succession of many steps: (1) geological and geophysical studies to characterize baseline information, (2) multiparametric monitoring, (3) identification and statistical analysis of precursory behaviours and (4) stochastic modeling for hazard estimation using all available data, evidence and knowledge. We hereby invite you to submit an abstract to this session using the COSIS system at http://www.cosis.net/members/meetings/abstracts/submit2.php?m_id=49&s_id=5220 not later than January 14, 2008. For specific guidelines for the submission of abstracts, please read the corresponding information at http://meetings.copernicus.org/egu2008/how_to_submit_an_abstract.html There is also the possibility to benefit from a limited amount of funding, which is especially considered for young scientists (in particular, PhD students) and/or colleagues from economically disadvantaged countries. In this case, you have to submit your abstract by December 7, 2007 (THIS FRIDAY!) at http://www.cosis.net/members/meetings/abstracts/submit2.php?m_id=49&s_id=5220&fs_request=yes Looking forward to seeing you in Vienna! The conveners. Roberto Carniel & Olivier Jaquet ------------------------------------------------------------------- Dr. Roberto Carniel Dipartimento di Georisorse e Territorio Università di Udine Via Cotonificio, 114 33100 UDINE - Friuli - Italy Fax +39 0432 558700 roberto.carniel@xxxxxxxx http://carniel.stromboli.net ============================================================== To unsubscribe from the volcano list, send the message: signoff volcano to: listserv@xxxxxxx, or write to: volcano-request@xxxxxxxx To contribute to the volcano list, send your message to: volcano@xxxxxxxx Please do not send attachments. ==============================================================
