*************************************************** From: Warner Marzocchi <warner.marzocchi@xxxxxxx> *************************************************** Dear all, I bring to your attention an IAVCEI workshop to be held during the IUGG meeting in Perugia: ERUPTION FORECASTING THROUGH THE BAYESIAN EVENT TREE: MOVING FROM THEORY TO PRACTICE WITH THE SOFTWARE PACKAGE BET_EF (W. Marzocchi and J. Selva, INGV) The workshop is open (and free) to everyone. It will be held Thursday 12th of July from 5:30 pm to 8:00 pm in Room 16 of the Academy of Fine Arts. During the workshop there will be a light buffet and some beverages. More information can be found below and at the website: http://www.iugg2007perugia.it/customPage.asp?inAct=V&inObj=104&inPag=7&inDoc=7 In order to organize the best workshop we need to have an estimation of the number of participants; therefore, if you intend to participate (obviously without obligation) or if you need more information please send an email to marzocchi@xxxxxxx *** DESCRIPTION OF THE WORKSHOP *** The workshop aims to present BET_EF, a free software package (OS Windows) that allows graphically supported computing of short- to long-term eruption forecasting by merging all the available information, such as theoretical models, a priori beliefs, monitoring measures, and any kind of past data, all of them provided by the end user. BET_EF deals with short- and long-term forecasting; therefore it can be useful in many practical aspects, such as land use planning and during volcanic emergencies. The workshop will be organized in three parts: Part 1. A short introduction to the BET model. We show the technical details of the code and the practical utility. Part 2. How to install BET_EF. The code will be distributed for free to the participants. We also give assistance to the participants with laptops. Part 3. How BET works. Several tutorials will be run, to show how volcanological information is uploaded and how BET_EF works in practical cases, i.e., during emergencies. _____________________________________________________ Dr. Warner Marzocchi Co-chairman WOVO (World Organization of Volcano Observatories) INGV - Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00143 Roma, ITALY Tel.: (+39)06-51860589 Fax: (+39)06-51860507 Cellphone: (+39)335-349759 e-mail: warner.marzocchi@xxxxxxx WebPage: http://www.bo.ingv.it/~warner ============================================================== To unsubscribe from the volcano list, send the message: signoff volcano to: listserv@xxxxxxx, or write to: volcano-request@xxxxxxxx To contribute to the volcano list, send your message to: volcano@xxxxxxxx Please do not send attachments. ==============================================================