Dear colleagues, We would like to draw your attention to our session GMPV4 on “Deterministic and probabilistic prediction of volcanic scenarios” to be held during the next EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, 15-20 April, 2007. For more information read the description below or visit the following link: http://www.cosis.net/members/meetings/programme/view.php?p_id=240 We also remain you that the abstract deadline is 15 January, 2007. Best regards, Dr. Warner Marzocchi INGV - Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia Via Donato Creti 12, 40128 Bologna, ITALY e-mail: marzocchi@xxxxxxxxxx Dr. Arnau Folch INGV- Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia Via Diocleziano 325, Napoli, ITALY e-mail: afolch@xxxxxxxxxx SESION GMPV4 DESCRIPTION: “Deterministic and probabilistic prediction of volcanological scenarios” Volcanic activity threats today millions of people worldwide. The evaluation of volcanic risk is a subject of fundamental importance for communities to develop adequate territorial planning and mitigation policies. The primary scientific ingredient for a sound risk analysis is a reliable volcanic hazard evaluation, i.e., the estimation of probability per unit time and space of any specific hazardous event related to volcanic eruptions (pyroclastic flows, fall out, lava flows, etc.). For such a goal to succeed it is necessary to develop quantitative multidisciplinary strategies that span from physical and statistical modeling, data collection and interpretation, expert elicitation, and development of probabilistic schemes to integrate the information available. This session welcomes all these kinds of multidisciplinary contributions dealing with the prediction/forecasting and modelling of volcanological scenarios. Contributions on recent volcanic crises and disasters are also warmly invited. ============================================================== To unsubscribe from the volcano list, send the message: signoff volcano to: listserv@xxxxxxx, or write to: volcano-request@xxxxxxxx To contribute to the volcano list, send your message to: volcano@xxxxxxxx Please do not send attachments. ==============================================================
