Ivica Ico Bukvic wrote:
bounty to persuade them. slowly, people are going to realize that
windows is a dead end. sometimes all you have to do is wait, and help
<rant>
Actually, realization will be a rather quick once Vista spreads and it turns
out to be ridden with the same security issues XP had 5 years go. Now,
average user may not care/understand this much (likely they will probably
continue believing in the motto "reboot/crash a day keeps bugs at bay"), but
for developers, it will be a no-brainer.
OTOH, given that Linux market has actually shrunk over the past few years,
and we are yet to return to the market cap of our micro-Renaissance of the
2000/1, the lack of the critical mass/paying customers will likely be a
deterrent to the aforesaid migration from commercial developer perspective.
All that being said, Universities have and will continue to be bastions of
Linux and if my recent meetings are any indication, at least as far as
Virginia Tech is concerned, its adoption in education sector will continue
to grow exponentially...
</rant>
Ico
Developers will be drawn to where the money is, unless it's a love. And,
that's MAC and Windows right now. I seriously doubt that is going to
change with Vista and the problems that may come with it. Problems are
just something to be solved. Developers need to eat and since the vast
majority of OSs out there are MAC and Windows, they'll stay there. It's
a numbers and survival game.
I see more interest in developer tools that can author the application
in one environment and deploy to several. That is until the OS
completely goes away - which will be some time from now ;-)
It is interesting that universities are moving more and more to Linux
and other FOSS. In the long run, this might turn out to be a tactic that
eventually infiltrates Linux into homes and to creators of music and
other art because of their exposure in school. I don't know how
successful Apple was with it's education initiative in the past. I heard
that it was successful a number of years ago. But, I see High Schools
with PCs, not MACs (though, I don't have the real numbers, just a
personal observation.)
--
brad fuller
http://www.Sonaural.com/
+1 (408) 799-6124
