On 20/3/20 20:16, JORDI PALET MARTINEZ wrote:
The confinement in Spain is for one more week (started one week ago already), but I predict that will be extended 2 more weeks and I think is the right thing to do now. May be even 3-4 weeks (so in total 1.5 months). I will like to be optimist at the time being, especially after having taken 20 years to organize it in Madrid! I think it all depends on what is the status by mid-April, maximum end of April, and not just in Spain. If this confinement works in Spain, and other countries (especially those which have participants of IETF), also do a similar 1-2 months confinement NOW, then borders could reopen and everything should be fine by end of May. I think the decision should be taken at that point. However, if any country is not doing the confinement, I will say, that country is going to be banned by the other countries, in order to avoid the Covid19 coming back. The situation in Spain has been worst because the government has not taken the right decision: 1) Initially they brought back from China Spanish citizens and quarantined them mandatorily. Fine! 2) However, surprisingly, when was clear that in Italy was widely spread, they didn't take any measurements to ask for mandatory quarantine for those coming from Italy. *Crazy and irrational* no sense compared to 1. Instead, countries from Africa and LAC, since the very early stages, have closed the borders to citizens from all over EU (and China). China itself is doing now the same. I'm convinced now that this is the right way to stop a wider spread.
FWIW, in places like Argentina there was initially voluntary quarantine, plus all flights from Europe, USA and China (and probably others) were cancelled. Since yesterday we have compulsory quarantine.
I think it is unlikely that things get normalized by July. Besides, finding flights might prove to be interesting -- everyone is postponing trips for "when it's over".
-- Fernando Gont SI6 Networks e-mail: fgont@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx PGP Fingerprint: 6666 31C6 D484 63B2 8FB1 E3C4 AE25 0D55 1D4E 7492
