Re: Call for action vs. lost opportunity (Was: Re: Renumbering)

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On Oct 12, 2007, at 8:13 AM, Keith Moore wrote:

there's precious little time left to do that

Umm, Keith, we're *already* 'out' (in some sense) of IPv4 space, and have
been for a decade or more.

Given that addresses are still available for the time being, I'm not
sure what sense you mean there.


The only thing that's about to change is that the cost of v4 addresses will go up slightly. The black market in addresses is now inevitable. As demand climbs, more people with assigned addresses will switch to NAT and put their prefixes on the market, providing the 'supply' side of the equation. This situation will
persist, with the 'demand' side slowly driving prices up.

Only when v6 becomes sufficiently attractive will it begin to be possible to deploy v6 only sites and reduce demand. So, until both content providers and 'eyeballs' see some obvious and compelling advantage to deploying v6, we have
a game of chicken, which no one will win.

Tony

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