That's the point, IPv6 is no longer about (only) more addresses, but about innovation. And innovation means freedom as well. I even think that it will be possible to recover, slowly, some IPv4 pools when IPv6 is extensively deployed, but who will care then ? Regards, Jordi > De: Brian E Carpenter <brc@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> > Organización: IBM > Responder a: ietf-bounces@xxxxxxxx > Fecha: Sat, 06 Nov 2004 23:10:58 +0100 > Para: Bob Braden <braden@xxxxxxx> > CC: ietf@xxxxxxxx > Asunto: Re: IPv4 consumption statistics and extrapolations > > Bob Braden wrote: >> *> >> *> At this rate the central pool will exhaust in 2018, some 14 years hence. >> *> i.e. some 168 months hence. Allowing for an accelerating consumption >> rate >> *> at an exponential rate brings this forward to 10 years, or 120 months. >> *> (details of the analysis are at http://bgp.potaroo.net/ipv4/) >> *> >> *> (Of course you should consult your favourite oracle, mystic, soothsayer >> or >> *> whatever for your own preferred version of the future.) >> *> >> *> regards, >> *> >> *> Geoff >> *> >> *> >> >> Some 10 years ago, every IETF plenary meeting had a soothsayer session, >> projecting how soon we would run out of IPv4 addresses. Has anyone >> looked to see how today's data extrapolates from the predictions then? >> Was it as "S" curve, after all?? > > Bob, if you constrain a resource, it will inevitably follow an S curve. > The fact that we have collectively strongly constrained the supply > of IPv4 addresses for the last ten years automatically produces the > results Geoff observes. Tony Hain makes the real point - if we don't > remove that constraint, we will (continue to) constrain innovation > and expansion of the Internet. I think that would be immoral. Yes, > immoral - we should grow the Internet to be big enough for the whole > world population; anything less is selfishness. > > Brian (maybe a bit tired with jet lag - I don't normally get > so steamed up about this) > > _______________________________________________ > Ietf mailing list > Ietf@xxxxxxxx > https://www1.ietf.org/mailman/listinfo/ietf > _______________________________________________ Ietf@xxxxxxxx https://www1.ietf.org/mailman/listinfo/ietf