SFGate: A place to land/FAA study says Bay Area airports must expand to meet demand

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Wednesday, May 16, 2007 (SF Chronicle)
A place to land/FAA study says Bay Area airports must expand to meet demand
Marisa Lagos, Chronicle Staff Writer


   Bay Area airports will need to expand their capacity by 2015 and work
together to find regional solutions to air traffic congestion problems or
face gridlock and serious delays, according to a report released by the
Federal Aviation Administration on Tuesday.
   The Bay Area is one of eight metropolitan areas that need to increase the
number of flights it can handle by 2025, the report states, a task it says
could be difficult because the region is hampered by "geographic, terrain
and airspace issues" that limit its ability to add additional runway
capacity.
   Because of that, the report says, the region's airports should explore
using existing smaller airports in the region to help take the burden off
of San Francisco and Oakland, an option already being considered, local
airport officials said. The report also suggests using new technology to
increase runway capacity, a measure that is already being considered at
San Francisco International Airport.
   The report, "Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System," is the FAA=
's
second since 2004. It looks at the 291 commercial service airports and 223
metropolitan areas across the country to determine their needs in the next
eight years.
   The agency chose 56 airports for a more detailed analysis and worked with
airport officials to determine what needs to be done.
   In all, the report found that 14 airports and eight metropolitan areas
will require additional capacity by 2015.
   Oakland International Airport will need to add capacity in the next eight
years, the report found, even with planned improvements such as the $300
million, nearly completed expansion project that will add five gates and
allow 18 million passengers to pass through the airport annually by 2010,
up from 14.4 million in 2006.
   Spokeswoman Rosemary Barnes said Oakland Airport, which has nearly tripl=
ed
its passenger load since 1991, plans to add a terminal with between 10 and
20 gates, but will not add any runways.
   "The FAA is showing that by 2015 ... we will see delays on the airfield,"
she said. "So instead of Oakland focusing on building a new runway --
because of environmental issues and costs, it's not that easy any more --
we are working from a regional standpoint ... to look at where airfield
capacity can be added."
   SFO spokesman Mike McCarron said officials are hoping to work with small=
er
airports, such as Concord, to increase the number flights to them. He said
the Regional Airport Planning Committee -- made up of officials from SFO,
Oakland, Mineta San Jose International Airport and other regional
transportation bodies -- is already working on this option.
   According to the FAA, San Jose does not have an immediate need to add
capacity. The airport is in the process of expanding and improving
terminals and runways.
   Capacity problems result in delays throughout the air travel system, the
report states. As the industry bounced back from a post-Sept. 11 slump,
on-time arrivals at the nation's busiest airports have dropped from an
average of 82 percent in 2002 to 75 percent in 2006.
   SFO's on-time rate was 70.3 percent in 2006, according to the Department
of Transportation, compared with 76.9 percent in 2004. Oakland slipped
from 81.2 percent in 2004 to 78.3 percent in 2006.
   In the next 10 years, the report said, the Bay Area will "serve as an ...
example of a capacity-constrained metropolitan area where runway
construction may not be an option. In these cases, demand management,
regulatory or economic solutions and other market mechanisms need to be
investigated."
   Those options include relaxing some of the FAA's rules and utilizing
improved navigation technology and landing capabilities as well as
improved weather and traffic information, which could allow more planes to
land at airports at one time.
   McCarron said SFO is already considering some of these improvements. The
airport's operations are often hampered by low clouds, which cut landing
capacity in half, and it has installed a system that allows more planes to
safely land when the cloud ceiling is as low as 2,100 feet.
   On Tuesday, the airports commission voted to ask the FAA to lower that
ceiling to 1,600 feet, he said.
   But SFO is operating under capacity and has not yet reached the traffic
levels it hit in 2000, when more than 40 million passengers used the
airport, compared with an estimated 33 million this year.
   And one terminal at the airport is vacant while it is being remodeled, he
said.
   "Our short-term challenge is to get 14 to 15 new domestic gates (in that
terminal) open by 2016," he said. "Our runway capacity is OK right now."
   The airport is also considering charging airlines more to land during bu=
sy
times as a way to space flights more evenly throughout the day.

More flights, people

   Projected annual passenger and airline operations
   San Francisco International Airport
   2007 -- 33 million passengers, 307,000 departures and landings
   2008 -- 38.4 million passengers, 350,000 departures and landings
   2011 -- 42 million passengers, 400,000 departures and landings
   2016 -- 48 million passengers, 450,000 departures and landings
   Oakland International Airport
   2006 -- 14.4 million passengers, 160,600 departures and landings
   2010 -- 18 million passengers, 197,830 departures and landings
   2025 -- 30 million passengers, unknown number of departures and landings
   Source: Oakland and San Francisco airport projections

   E-mail Marisa Lagos at mlagos@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx -------------------------=
---------------------------------------------
Copyright 2007 SF Chronicle

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