NYTimes.com Article: Delta Gets Some Stiff Competition on a Key Route

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Delta Gets Some Stiff Competition on a Key Route

May 28, 2003
By EDWARD WONG






LOS ANGELES, May 27 - Delta Air Lines is scrambling to cope
with competition that has spread as quickly here as a
California wildfire: two low-cost airlines are challenging
it for passengers between this city and Atlanta, on what
until now was the country's biggest nonstop route with no
rivalry.

The entrance of JetBlue Airways and AirTran Airways into
the market is forcing Delta to increase by about 50 percent
the number of daily flights and to offer triple miles to
frequent fliers on that route. Most noticeably, it has also
drastically cut fares - from at least $1,151 for a one-way
walk-up ticket in March to $249 for a nonrefundable one-way
walk-up fare in June.

Delta's response is typical of the behavior of big network
carriers when low-cost rivals encroach on their routes.
JetBlue made its inaugural flight between Atlanta and the
airport in Los Angeles County's second-largest city, Long
Beach, on May 8, and AirTran is starting twice-daily
service on June 4 between Los Angeles International Airport
and Atlanta, which serves as a hub for both it and Delta.

The Los Angeles-Atlanta route is Delta's second-largest
domestic market, and the airline is not about to give up
those passengers without a fight - even if that means
losing money in the short term by ramping up its operations
at a time when air travel is sluggish.

The intense rivalry on this route and the consequent
benefits for travelers are emblematic of large-scale
changes taking place in the airline industry. Seeking new
markets to conquer and taking advantage of technological
improvements that let smaller jets fly longer and higher,
the low-cost carriers like Southwest Airlines are moving
more and more into the transcontinental routes once
dominated by network airlines. The recent decisions by
network airlines to scale back on flights because of the
weak economy also leave them more vulnerable to attack from
the expanding low-cost carriers.

When threatened like this, the traditional airlines either
drop the routes altogether or they cut fares and add
capacity - at a time when executives and industry analysts
say there is an oversupply of seats in the air.

"It would be quite a stretch to interpret Delta's capacity
increase as simply a response to strong demand," said Jamie
Baker, an analyst at J. P. Morgan Chase. "Rather, it's a
response to strong competition."

In June, AirTran will be flying 312 seats a day each way
between Los Angeles International Airport and Hartsfield
Atlanta International Airport. JetBlue is already flying
486 seats a day each way between Long Beach Airport and
Hartsfield. Mr. Baker calculated that Delta is offering
2,876 seats one way on a typical weekday this June - a 38
percent increase over June last year and a 30 percent
increase over June 2001, before the Sept. 11 attacks caused
air travel to plummet.

Delta's sudden infusion of seats is all the more surprising
because it goes against the airline's general strategy to
cope with the weak economy, which is to cut domestic
capacity by 12 percent, Mr. Baker said.

Catherine Stengel, a spokeswoman for Delta, acknowledged
that increased competition was one factor spurring the
addition of flights, but she also said that "there's such a
strong passenger demand for our Atlanta-Los Angeles service
that we thought we'd be able to meet that demand."

She added that Delta was cutting fares, even with strong
demand, to stay competitive with its rivals.

Delta's lowest one-way fare in June between Los Angeles and
Atlanta is $119, charged for a nonrefundable ticket bought
at least a week before departure, said Terry Trippler, an
fare expert at Cheapseats.com. That matches the lowest fare
from both AirTran and JetBlue, though JetBlue requires
tickets be bought 14 days in advance to get that fare. Last
June, Delta's cheapest ticket was a $198 round trip that
required a 14-day advance purchase and a Saturday night
stay. A business traveler who had to buy a ticket less than
two weeks in advance paid at least $1,031 each way last
June.

For years, Delta was shielded from market pressures on the
Los Angeles-Atlanta route because it had very little
nonstop competition. Eastern Airlines dropped out about a
decade ago, and United Airlines left in September 2001
after flying the route for two years.

Then on Feb. 18, JetBlue said it would start service three
times a day in May between Long Beach and Atlanta. David
Neeleman, chief executive of JetBlue, said that his airline
had picked the new route because Delta's monopoly hold on
nonstop flights probably meant that the market was
underserved.

JetBlue, with its fleet of new Airbus A320's, is doing more
transcontinental flying than any other low-cost carrier.
Robert W. Mann, an industry consultant based in Port
Washington, N.Y., said that long-haul flying allows
airlines to get more from passengers for the fixed fees it
has to pay out, like the $2.50-a-leg security tax levied by
the government and suspended by lawmakers until Sept. 30.
Long-distance routes also allow airlines to schedule
late-night flights, which ratchet up efficiency by
increasing the number of hours a day a plane is used.

Improvements in aircraft technology are also opening up the
world of transcontinental flying for low-cost airlines. In
the early 1990's, most low-cost airlines used DC-9's or
second-generation Boeing 737's, neither of which could fly
from coast to coast. But Boeing and Airbus soon began
improving the range of their smaller aircraft, and even
Southwest - founded in the 1970's to provide short-hop
service in Texas - has begun flying cross-country routes,
starting with Baltimore-Los Angeles last September.

JetBlue will start its next transcontinental flight on June
26, when it will begin flying once a day between San Diego
and Kennedy International Airport in New York, a nonstop
route dominated by American Airlines. It will add a second
flight each day, starting on July 14.

To match JetBlue's lower prices, American, a unit of AMR,
has begun offering a $139 one-way nonrefundable fare that
has to be bought one week in advance.

AirTran announced on March 4 that it would start flying
twice a day between Los Angeles and Atlanta, starting on
June 4. AirTran will fly the route with two Airbus A320's
leased from Ryan International Airlines, based in Wichita,
Kan. Those planes can fly farther than the Boeing 717's
that comprise virtually all of AirTrans's fleet. By leasing
them, Mr. Mann said, AirTran can test the market without
putting up the cash to buy planes.

AirTran is also introducing flights between Atlanta and
both Denver and Las Vegas this summer. It has also put out
a call for proposals for an order of 100 new aircraft from
Boeing or Airbus. Those planes, with delivery to begin in
2004, would give AirTran the flexibility to add more
transcontinental routes.

Two days after AirTran said it would start service between
Los Angeles and Atlanta, Delta said that it would add five
flights from Atlanta to Los Angeles and four from Los
Angeles to Atlanta throughout the summer. It also said it
would add, starting this coming Sunday, an additional
flight each way between Atlanta and Ontario, a suburb east
of Los Angeles. Many of the fares on these flights matched
those of AirTran and JetBlue.

Mr. Mann, the airline consultant, said that the market had
probably been underserved since only one airline controlled
it. Both he and Mr. Baker, the J. P. Morgan analyst, said
the addition of so many flights might seem extreme, but
that it was not surprising that a network airline would do
this to try to protect market share.

"They're certainly going to lose a lot of money," Mr.
Neeleman of JetBlue said. "But carriers faced with
competition in markets, they can look the other way or they
can react. To react is their prerogative."

Mr. Neeleman declined to say if JetBlue's three-times daily
flights between Long Beach and Atlanta were making money.
"I don't really know for sure whether they're profitable at
this point," he said, "but they're certainly not weighing
down the company."

http://www.nytimes.com/2003/05/28/business/28AIR.html?ex=1055129981&ei=1&en=c6fa84885e8e5b12


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