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Going for broke
Guardian 04.10.03

The bad news: fares to go up  Planning to visit your family in Brooklyn in=
=20
August to take in Labour Day? Thinking of taking your vacationing children=
=20
to Disney World in July to celebrate their performance in exams?  If you=20
are =96 start putting away money now and book your flight early, because=20
fares on the national carrier BWIA are likely to increase steeply in the=20
near future.  Just how high? BWIA sources said the exact details of the=20
airline=92s fare structure and schedule for the =93summer=94 peak period are=
=20
being worked out =96 but that the days of an adult travelling to New York=
 for=20
$2,200 (all taxes included) are history.  Significantly higher fares to=20
BWIA=92s North American destinations will result if Cabinet accepts certain=
=20
key proposals in the bail-out package junior Finance Minister Ken Valley=20
presents to it today, a high-level BWIA source said Tuesday.  Among the=20
elements of the plan, fine-tuned by BWIA chief executive Conrad Aleong and=
=20
presented to Valley on Tuesday, are measures to curtail the aggressive=20
pricing policies of the charter airlines which operate with frequency=20
during the =93summer=94 months to New York and Toronto.  =93There are rules=
 that=20
the charter airlines are breaching and it is allowing them to cut BWIA=92s=
=20
throat,=94 said the airline source, citing the fact that charter flights are=
=20
only supposed to bring passengers from the originating airport and fly back=
=20
empty.

In practice, charter flights operating into Trinidad are allowed to bring=20
passengers into the country from New York and Toronto and fly back to those=
=20
cities with different passengers.  The Air Transport Licensing Authority=20
(ATLA), the source said, is supposed to control the fares of all flights,=20
both charter and scheduled, coming into the country. Airlines must apply to=
=20
it for approval of fares.  =93ATLA is supposed to ensure that airlines=
 flying=20
into the country quote economic fares,=94 said the source, adding that the=
=20
benchmark to determine economic fares is the scheduled scheduled flights=20
and not the charter flights.  Once ATLA enforces the rules, thereby=20
levelling the playing field, the charter airlines will be forced to=20
increase their fares to a level that will allow BWIA an =93economic=94=
 return.

The Aleong business plan

As well as higher fares, among the elements of the Aleong plan, which aims=
=20
to return BWIA to the profit position it last reached in 2000, are:
=95 An immediate reduction of the number of flights to the North American=20
destinations, up until the end of June, when the schedule will be=
 reassessed;
=95 The return of one of the seven new 737s to the aircraft lessor;
=95 Further staff reductions;
=95 A preferential rate on aviation fuel similar to that granted to British=
=20
Airways;
=95 Some US$25 million in loans and loan guarantees.

If the survival plans gets past Cabinet, BWIA expects to be in the black=20
again by the end of this year.  =93The numbers still suggest if we can get=
=20
past the (US/Iraq) war, with some recovery in the summer, we can break even=
=20
and perhaps turn a small profit, a couple of million TT (dollars) net=20
profit,=94 said BWIA spokesman Clint Williams.  This is the second time in=
=20
less than six months that the airline is going back to the Government for a=
=20
bail-out package. BWIA received a 10-year, $13.5 million loan from the=20
Government starting in November and the airline executives completed a=20
business plan at the end of January which estimated that it would make US$9=
=20
million this year.  On January 6, Aleong declared to the local and=20
international media that BWIA would be operating in the black before the=20
end of the year.  =93We have a plan to produce a profit in 2003,=94 Aleong=
 had=20
said. =93You will hear us coming back to shareholder value. Our shareholders=
=20
have waited too long to get a return and get dividends.=94

On January 28, BWIA=92s board and management launched a business plan which=
=20
they said would stop the financial haemorrhage that seemed to be slowly=20
killing the airline - The 2003 New Business Model.  Government stipulated=20
it would not loan BWIA any money until it could save US$1.3 million a=20
month.  In January, the BWIA management assured the State its plan would=20
create those savings through staff reductions, outsourcing of specific=20
operations and the franchising of its duty-free department.  =93Unless this=
=20
Business Model is implemented now, and fully, BWIA will not continue as a=20
viable airline,=94 said the January business plan.  BWIA appears to be no=20
more viable now than it was two months ago.

Where did the $13.5 million loan go?

Many of BWIA=92s retrenched employees as well as Government officials, union=
=20
leaders and members of the general public have questioned what happened to=
=20
the State loan between January and now.  =93Where is the $13.5 million the=
=20
Government had give to you?=94 asked retrenched BWIA employee Curt Smart of=
=20
the airline=92s management.  Interviewed last week, Williams said the $13.5=
=20
million was used solely for debt-clearing purposes, and that was why BWIA=20
was unable to pay all of its promised $53 million in severance benefits to=
=20
its 617 retrenched workers.  =93We owed some of that ($13.5 million) to the=
=20
lessor (International Lease Finance Corporation), we owed some of that to=20
the fuel companies. That money was to help us get current,=94 Williams=20
said.  BWIA has leased its six Boeing 737s and its only A340 from ILFC,=20
which, Williams said, will continue to be patient with the airline.  =93We=
=20
owe them February, March and April. We were able to make a partial=20
payment,=94 he said. =93People have to understand, you talk about $13=20
million=97when BWIA spends US$700,000 a day that is about TT$5 million a=
 day.=20
How long you think that will disappear in the system when you=92re losing=20
money?=94

Fans and critics

BWIA seems to have the support of key members of the private sector, many=20
of whom will be forced to pay higher fares to fly the national=20
carrier.  =93BWIA is an integral part of our society and is very important=
 to=20
us, especially in these times. Who are we going to depend on to fly =96=20
American Airlines?=94 asked David O=92Brien, the president of the T&T=
 Chamber=20
of Industry and Commerce.  BWIA called top business leaders, including=20
O=92Brien, to a closed-door briefing session at the Chamber=92s head office=
 in=20
Westmoorings yesterday. The business leaders were generally supportive of=20
the airline and its new plan.  Critics of the BWIA management, including=20
the unions representing the airline=92s employees, do not see what the new=
=20
plan can achieve that the January plan did not.   =93If you are going to put=
=20
plans in place, and you going back to Government for money two months=20
afterwards you do not have the solutions,=94 said Jagdeo Jagroop, president=
=20
of the Communication Transport and General Workers Trade Union.

On Tuesday, BWIA executives presented Government with a new plan to save=20
the airline from financial ruin in the hope of receiving another cash=20
infusion from the State.  BWIA says the Government, which currently owns=20
49.5 per cent of the airline=92s shares, should provide the additional=20
bail-out because of the service the carrier has rendered the nation and the=
=20
region during its 61 years in the air.  Jagroop, Smart and others conclude=
=20
the BWIA management was aware of these factors when they were preparing=20
their 2003 New Business Model.  =93You know what not having BWIA would do to=
=20
us? We can=92t allow that uncertainty to take place. It=92s not as though we=
=20
don=92t have the money,=94 says O=92Brien.

How BWIA plans on saving $

The following is a list of the savings BWIA=92s board and management=
 promised=20
in their 2003 New Business Model for the airline:

Computer reservation systems restructuring
Annual savings estimate: US$2.5 million

Fuel
BWIA sought a fixed fuel price for its supply from Piarco from the=
 Government.
No annual savings projected

Duty free franchising
Annual savings estimate: US$350,000

Reduced cost of borrowings
Annual savings estimate: US$400,000

Management staff reduction
Annual estimated savings: US$645,595

Outsourcing of annual =93heavy=94 aircraft checks
Annual savings net of third party costs: US$2.5 million

Outsourcing of Piarco Ramp operations
Annual savings net of third part costs: US$575,760

General staff reduction
Annual savings: US$800,000

***************************************************
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Roj (Roger James)

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*********************************************************

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