Smaller U.S. airlines poised for success in 2003

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Smaller U.S. airlines poised for success in 2003

CHICAGO (Reuters) =97 Smaller U.S. airlines fared better financially than=20
larger rivals in 2002 and are poised for strong performance this year,=20
thanks to their low costs, low fares and niche business models. While the=20
near-term outlook for the U.S. airline industry is murky due to weak demand=
=20
for air travel, high jet fuel prices and a potential war with Iraq,=20
low-cost carriers such as Southwest Airlines, JetBlue Airways and AirTran=20
Holdings have all reported profits. The low-cost carriers have an enviable=
=20
position that larger competitors =97 which are bleeding losses and=
 struggling=20
to stay out of bankruptcy court =97 are seeking to emulate. Delta Air Lines,=
=20
the No. 3 U.S. airline, said on Wednesday it will launch a new low-fare=20
airline with some of the key features and routes that have helped JetBlue=20
outperform other carriers. Delta hopes the low-fare unit, named Song, will=
=20
help it capture passengers who have ditched it for its less expensive=20
rivals. Bankrupt UAL's United Airlines is also seeking to reclaim some of=20
the low-fare business that has chipped away at its market share. The No. 2=
=20
U.S. airline, under pressure to give details on how it will emerge from=20
bankruptcy as a strong competitor, has said a low-cost carrier is a=20
critical element to its future. United executives are expected to discuss=20
details on the unnamed low-cost unit =97 part of its overall restructuring=
=20
plan =97 at a Thursday board meeting. It was not clear when those details=20
would be released publicly and already two union work groups, the pilots=20
and flight attendants, are critical.

MORE GROWTH AHEAD
Discount carrier JetBlue Airways on Thursday reported an increase in its=20
quarterly net profit and said it expected to grow another 50% this year in=
=20
available seats. New York-based JetBlue beat Wall Street estimates with a=20
fourth-quarter profit of $15.2 million, or 22 cents a share, compared with=
=20
a profit of $11.1 million, or 20 cents a share, a year earlier. JetBlue=20
said its revenue skyrocketed 96%, while its rivals battle a weak revenue=20
environment. JetBlue is able to keep costs in check primarily because it=20
uses only one Airbus jet model and its labor costs are low. "In a weak=20
commercial aviation environment, these numbers are extraordinary," Ray=20
Neidl, airline analyst at Blaylock & Partners said of JetBlue's results.=20
However, another analyst, Susan Donofrio of Deutsche Bank, reiterated a=20
hold on JetBlue saying its competitive gains were already largely priced=20
into the stock.Orlando-based discount carrier AirTran, which also reported=
=20
a quarterly and full-year profit this week, said it has seen bookings reach=
=20
their best levels since before the Sept. 11 attacks and predicted a 2003=20
profit. Southwest, the leader among low-cost carriers and the No. 7 U.S.=20
airline, reported a quarterly and full-year profit last week. It has some=20
of the lowest costs and highest worker productivity in the industry and is=
=20
expecting capacity to grow about 4 to 5% next year.

TOUGH OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
Although Alaska Air Group on Thursday reported a wider fourth-quarter loss,=
=20
revenue rose as the small Seattle-based carrier expanded service to a=20
handful of new U.S. cities. The parent of No. 9 U.S. carrier Alaska=20
Airlines and regional carrier Horizon Air said it lost $43.1 million in the=
=20
quarter, or $1.62 per share, vs. a restated loss of $37.4 million, or $1.41=
=20
per share, in the fourth quarter of 2001. But Alaska Air said it planned to=
=20
add planes and increase capacity this year while its larger opponents are=20
parking planes and cutting back on routes. Chief Executive John Kelly said=
=20
he planned to rethink some of the carrier's processes in order to achieve=20
aggressive cost cuts over the new few years. "They continue to have a=20
strong financial position to help see them through what could be a tough=20
operating environment going forward," Peter Jacobs, airline and aerospace=20
analyst at Seattle-based brokerage house Ragen Mackenzie, said of Alaska's=
=20
results. "They could be somewhere in the break-even area for 2003. All=20
things considered, that's much better than some of their peers."


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