SF Gate: Business travelers will have to dig deeper/Airfares, rental cars, hotels will all cost more in '03, studies say

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Friday, November 29, 2002 (SF Chronicle)
Business travelers will have to dig deeper/Airfares, rental cars, hotels wi=
ll all cost more in '03, studies say
Diane E. Lewis, Boston Globe


   Two different studies are predicting the same thing: a hike in business
travel costs in 2003.
   The National Business Travel Association, a nationwide trade group of
2,400 corporate travel managers, predicts a 5 percent increase in future
business travel costs in several key segments. Among other things, the
group says that business airfares are likely to jump by 7 percent, hotel
rates will increase 2 percent, and corporate car rental rates will rise 2
percent next year.
   A separate report, the American Express Trends and Forecasts for the
Business Travel Industry, says corporate travelers should expect domestic
business airfares to rise 3 to 4 percent and international airfares to
increase 4 to 5 percent. The report, based on industry expectations for
the coming year, notes that the average U.S. employer spends about 45
percent of its travel and entertainment budget on airfares.
   Typical one-way business airfares were $572 during the third quarter of
2002, about 2 percent below the third quarter of 2001. The company
reported that in the third quarter of this year, airlines' lowest discount
airfares averaged $99 one-way, 11 percent lower than the lowest average
discount price a year earlier. This information came from the American
Express Business Travel Monitor, which monitors various categories of
airfares on hundreds of domestic routes.
   American Express also predicts a 1 percent decline in domestic hotel
rates, as hotels and other lodging establishments struggle with the low
demand for hotel rooms. However, meals, daily car rental rates, and
telecommunications are expected to climb 2 to 3 percent in 2003.
   Increased concerns about security during the past year and the sluggish
economy caused U.S. corporations to slash travel budgets in 2002, but each
study says travel is likely to increase as the nation's economic outlook
improves.
   "Corporations have changed the way they purchase business travel," said
NBTA President Kevin Iwamoto. "Moving into 2003, our forecast shows that
business travel will resume as the economy recovers. Yet, overall travel
spending will remain flat in the coming year as corporations continue to
focus on the bottom line."
   Said Brian Mogler, vice president of supplier relations and consulting at
American Express Corporate Travel: "Over the past few years, companies
have tightened their travel programs and reduced air travel spending by
using more leisure type fares. But many will see their average fares
rising, now that the airlines have put new restrictions on the lowest
fares and stopped applying corporate discounts to them.
   "In addition, barring a further economic downturn, business travel demand
is likely to improve, creating upward pressure on pricing."=20
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Copyright 2002 SF Chronicle

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