NYTimes.com Article: Pass Ideas to Center Aisle. American Needs 'Em.

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Pass Ideas to Center Aisle. American Needs 'Em.

July 21, 2002
By EDWARD WONG






CHICAGO -- Mary Frances Fagan thought she had done her part
to help salvage the world's largest airline. She had spent
weeks brainstorming over American Airlines' chronic
problems. How to turn a profit. How to trim costs. How to
make people work harder and airplanes fly more efficiently.


Then the idea struck her like a wave of turbulence: sell
advertising space on the back of boarding passes, as
grocery stores do with receipts.

"They sent my idea to the advertising department," she said
with a wide grin over a chicken sandwich at O'Hare
International Airport. "We could make a lot of money."

As a regional manager of corporate communications at
American, Ms. Fagan might not be the likeliest person to
come up with new ways of generating revenue. But this is
supposedly the brave new flight path of American, where
every worker is being asked for suggestions. "Everything is
on the table" is the catch phrase, and company executives
say they are exploring all possible ways to bring down
costs, from adjusting taxiing speed to rescheduling
arrivals and departures here so jets turn around faster.

But in trying for greater efficiency, American is not so
much leading the field - as it did in the 1980's and early
90's - as playing catch-up to healthier full-service rivals
like Continental Airlines, some analysts and industry
executives say. And it is jealously trying to copy some
techniques that have made Southwest Airlines the only
consistently profitable major carrier. To some eyes, much
of the tinkering makes American look increasingly like a
petulant schoolchild being forced to take summer classes to
keep up with its cleverer peers.

The company has yet to introduce revolutionary ideas to
bring down labor costs or to revamp a complex fare
structure that has driven away many business travelers. It
has remained guarded about what big changes, if any, are in
the works, and it says no breakthroughs will occur before
year's end.

"Anything they can do on the cost side can only help them,"
said Jim Corridore, an analyst at Standard & Poor's. "But
these things are not enough. Certainly the larger issues
are the only ones that can help in the long run. The wages
are out of whack. The business fares are too high. Nobody
is addressing the fare issue."

Darryl Jenkins, an airline consultant and director of the
Aviation Institute at George Washington University, said
that tweaking the O'Hare schedule was a step in the right
direction and that American might overhaul its fare
structure after it gradually makes its hubs in Chicago,
Dallas-Fort Worth, St. Louis and Miami more cost-efficient.


But the airline must take more immediate steps to stanch
its bleeding. On Wednesday, AMR, its parent company,
reported a second-quarter loss of $495 million, only
slightly less than in the period a year ago and mildly
better than its first-quarter loss of $575 million, the
largest of any airline. It lost $1.76 billion last year
and, analysts say, will lose close to that this year.

AMR's revenue per available seat mile, a standard
benchmark, was 9.83 cents in the second quarter, a 10.6
percent decline from last year, worse than most rivals.

The company's shares closed at $12.01 on Friday, less than
one-third of their 52-week high of $36.23 last August.

Donald J. Carty, the chief executive, has been upfront
about American's "dire financial straits." But he also
eagerly promotes the retooling effort. Some people in the
industry say the soul-searching is wrapped up in Mr.
Carty's desire to leave his mark on a company so closely
linked to his predecessor, Robert L. Crandall, who retired
in 1998 after 13 years leading AMR and, in many ways, the
industry.

Mr. Carty, 55, was an executive vice president for finance
and planning before he was appointed president in 1995. A
lanky native of Montreal and a graduate of the Harvard
Business School, he has a reputation for being less
hot-tempered and hardheaded than Mr. Crandall. Months after
taking over as chief executive, Mr. Carty was seen wearing
reindeer antlers and a "Star Trek" mask while partying with
Make-a-Wish children. He quickly doled out more travel
perks to workers and tried to smooth over volatile
relations with unions.

In a recent telephone recording, he told employees he had
received 900 suggestions on efficiency improvements in an
"Ask Don Carty" e-mail box. Many changes under
consideration could greatly affect the travel experience,
from permanently keeping meals off shorter flights to
massaging hub schedules in a way that forces passengers to
wait longer for connections. Executives are even
re-evaluating American's most appreciated innovation: the
removal of two rows of seats from 875 planes to add more
legroom in coach.

"We're much more focused on making fundamental changes and
trying to accelerate in a whole lot of ways," Mr. Carty
said in a recent interview in New York. "We need to be more
productive, we need to be more effective as an
organization, we need to be more responsive. We need to
learn a lot of lessons from some of the new airline
models."


But the profitable model he was referring to - the one used
by no-frills carriers like JetBlue Airways - was actually
conceived three decades ago by Southwest, American's
crosstown rival in the Dallas area. Analysts and executives
say American has a long way to go before pulling off a
similar revolution. They argue that such a breakthrough is
necessary if American is to lead the full-service carriers
from their dependence on the economic cycle.

"No airline is going to go out of business because it taxis
too slowly or puts too many nuts on its sundaes," said
Jamie Baker, an analyst at J. P. Morgan. "AMR's efforts to
reduce costs may help the margin, but they don't address
the basic design deficiency of its business plan."

Airlines like American that use hubs and spokes, funneling
large numbers of passengers to connecting flights in
central airports, should rethink their business models,
said Alfred E. Kahn, a professor of political economy at
Cornell who oversaw deregulation as chairman of the Civil
Aeronautics Board in the late 1970's. The airlines
traditionally offset high fixed expenses - like those from
costly labor contracts - by relying on pricey tickets
bought by business travelers. But that works only when the
economy is prospering.

During downturns, those carriers stumble while ones like
Southwest keep turning profits by not having to maintain
hubs and by generally operating with low costs. On
Thursday, Southwest reported a second-quarter profit of
$102.3 million. Mr. Carty appears to be both envious and
resentful of Southwest, liberally taking potshots at it.
"We won't be `Wal-Marting' American Airlines," Mr. Carty
said in one of his weekly telephone messages to employees.
"There are elements of our full-service airline that have
tremendous value."


AMERICAN'S plans do not include abandoning the
hub-and-spoke model, which it popularized under Mr.
Crandall. No airline executive has come up with a better
way to move large numbers of people across a broad network.
But some analysts say American's cost-cutting is just
shuffling in Southwest's footsteps without taking the
necessary big leap.

American is trying to persuade passengers to use electronic
tickets by charging an extra $20 for paper ones. Southwest
introduced e-tickets in 1995, before any other major
airline, and 85 percent of its passengers now use them.
After Sept. 11, American shut down 107 ticket offices - 14
in the Chicago area - in the hope of having customers buy
more tickets online. Southwest never had ticket offices and
started online booking in 1996.

American has cut meals from most domestic flights of less
than four hours. Southwest has never offered more than
cookies, pretzels and chips, even on long flights. American
has been trimming its number of plane types to 7, from 14,
to save on training and maintenance. Southwest flies just
the Boeing 737.

"I think the growth of those carriers and the growing
amount of our network competitive with them is one of these
trends we're going to take account of," said Henry Joyner,
senior vice president for planning at American.

Even though Southwest's flights are often likened to cattle
cars, its chief financial officer, Gary Kelly, sounded
somewhat smug about hub-and-spoke airlines chasing
Southwest's shadow. "It's clear that we have the cost
advantage," he said. "It becomes crystal clear in tough
economic times like this. We intend to stay the course and
keep our focus on our costs to ensure that they're low."

The operations here at O'Hare, American's second-largest
hub, after Dallas-Fort Worth, provide a window into the
kinds of changes the airline is trying to make. From the
gates to the ticket counters to the gray bowels of the
churning baggage room, American has taken stabs at
revamping. But much of it follows what rivals have already
done.

Mr. Carty, though, boasted of one potentially radical
experiment - uncoupling arrival and departure schedules
here. Hub-and-spoke carriers schedule all flights coming
from the same direction to arrive at roughly the same time,
shortly before those leaving in other directions, allowing
passengers to transfer quickly. This results in two major
inefficiencies: Peak hours become too congested; and
workers and planes spend too much time sitting at both hubs
and spokes during lulls.

In April, American changed its schedule at O'Hare so
flights would not have to connect so closely and planes at
spokes could turn around more quickly. Turnaround times
have decreased 13 percent, the company said. This has
allowed American to use planes and workers more
efficiently; the airline has eliminated the use of three
planes and the equivalent of five gates.

The schedule is also more even now. Before April, for
example, American had 31 departures from 1:14 to 1:47 p.m.,
and just three from 1:48 to 2:49. Now, about 15 planes
leave in the first period and 20 in the second.

The downside is that connecting passengers now wait an
average of 50 minutes, instead of 35 or 40, said Bernard J.
DeSena, an American vice president at O'Hare. On the other
hand, he added, labor is more efficient, and passengers
boarding at Chicago have more varied departure times.

"It is more efficient from a manpower standpoint,"
acknowledged Kevin Knight, vice president for resource
planning at United Airlines, American's main rival at
O'Hare. "They have their operations spread throughout the
day. They're betting on the fact that customers will wait."


Mr. DeSena said, "You have to look at a lot of things
before you call this a success." It is not yet clear how
much American has saved, or when it might try the same
experiment at its flagship hub in Dallas-Fort Worth, Mr.
Joyner said.


But American remains a hub-and-spoke airline, which
ultimately limits how fast it can turn around its jets.
Southwest never has to worry about that. It does not
synchronize its flights so closely, and its planes usually
turn around within 20 minutes.

The scheduling changes may not be obvious here, but many
travelers have taken note of the 35 blue self-service
kiosks scattered around the ticket counter. Ms. Fagan, the
American spokeswoman, said 40 percent of passengers who are
eligible to use the check-in kiosks, meaning those with
e-tickets and traveling alone or in small groups, did so
last month, a higher proportion than at any other airport.
The airline has 221 kiosks at 29 airports and plans to add
450 by year-end, with 19 arriving at O'Hare in the next few
months.

That allows American to thin an entire layer of labor. But
it is not leading the way in this technology. Continental
began setting up kiosks in 1995 and has 631 in domestic
airports.

In trying to improve efficiency, American is equipping some
ground employees with hand-held computers similar to Palms.
Mechanics in San Jose, Calif., are experimenting with such
devices to call up reference information quickly. If
executives approve further financing, American could roll
out 800 of these at 20 maintenance centers before year's
end.

At O'Hare, up to 10 such devices are already being used
occasionally by ticketing agents to check in passengers. In
a dim, cavernous basement, where conveyor belts churn with
luggage, some baggage-handlers are armed with hand-held
computers that reads information from bag labels.

Again, American is blazing no trail with these devices.
United has been using them for about three years and now
has 3,000 of them worldwide.

Some of American's streamlining seems only an attempt to
jettison dead weight that came with its purchase of Trans
World Airlines in April 2001, a merger that some analysts
and consultants faulted because it added too much capacity.
For example, American is changing the cockpit configuration
of all its T.W.A. jets so pilots do not have to be trained
multiple times. Part of American's fleet simplification
program includes retiring the Boeing 717's and DC-9-30's
acquired in the merger.

After Sept. 11, American also trimmed some frills. It took
magazines off planes, which it said saves $2 million a
year, and pared its food offerings.

"The airlines are realizing that that's a way to keep costs
down," said Christine Turneabe-Connelly, a spokeswoman for
Southwest. "It's something we've known for 31 years.
Travelers would much rather pay less for their air fare and
skip their meal."


Still, American has not come up with solutions to the two
gaping problems that many analysts and executives say keep
all hub-and-spoke airlines from making consistent profits.
The first is high labor costs, inflated by generous work
rules and partly rooted in antagonism between unions and
management. For example, American and its pilots' union
have reached an impasse in contract talks and are turning
to a federal mediator.

Mr. Carty warned employees recently that more layoffs were
ahead, on top of the 20,000 jobs eliminated last fall. But
that won't change the labor cost model.

American also appears no closer to fixing the broken fare
structure. Executives at the major airlines acknowledge
that they have to simplify fares, paring dozens of arcane
choices to something more akin to the four or five tiers
offered by Southwest. "It's clear that something dramatic
needs to be done, but it's too soon to know what that
something is," Mr. Carty said last month in a speech in New
York.

American executives still cringe at memories of the rivers
of red ink in 1992, when the company simplified its pricing
by offering only four kinds of fares. That ignited a price
war. Travelers snatched up great deals, but the airlines
suffered huge losses.

"The industry is too focused on cost reduction and
insufficiently focused on redefining the revenue model,"
Sam Buttrick, an analyst at UBS Warburg, wrote last Monday
in an investors' note.

But for now, American is not putting in place any truly
radical changes. Marty Heires, a spokesman, was cryptic
about "the big breakthrough items," saying only that "it'll
be the end of the year before we see any of those plans
rolled out."

Until then, executives will keep poring over the hundreds
of ideas tossed around by workers like Ms. Fagan.

After finishing her sandwich, she walked across the
concourse to the self-service kiosks. A man was pulling out
a boarding pass. She took it from him and held up the back
of it. Her eyes sparkled as she envisioned an ad there.

"Perfect. This is just perfect," she said. "This is what we
need."


http://www.nytimes.com/2002/07/21/business/yourmoney/21AMER.html?ex=1028216540&ei=1&en=959816b3a46e28d0



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