Aviation Daily: Delta's Mullin Prepares Defense For Potential US Air Code Share

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Aviation Daily: Delta's Mullin Prepares Defense For Potential US Air
Code Share

By Steve Lott/Aviation Daily

01-Jul-2002 7:58 AM U.S. EDT




Delta CEO Leo Mullin is prepared to launch an aggressive marketing
attack against US Airways if it reaches a code-share deal with another
major airline this summer, and he vowed that Delta would sign its own
alliance to compete.

In an interview last week, Mullin told The DAILY that Delta is clearly
the "target" airline of a US Airways alliance deal, and he fears that
Delta would see "revenue diversion" if US Airways partners with a larger
airline, such as United. A code-share deal "doesn't increase the revenue
pie," he said, but instead allows for those partner airlines to "get a
bigger piece of that pie."

If US Airways partners with United, Continental or Northwest, Mullin is
prepared to form his own alliance with another domestic carrier and take
quick marketing actions in the areas of pricing and product development
to prevent US Airways and its potential code-share partner to bleed
revenue from Delta. "I will not allow revenue diversion to be
accomplished by the code share," he said.

Even though Delta has the clear upper hand over US Airways along the
East Coast, they are still bitter rivals on many routes to Florida and
on the Northeast shuttle routes. A code-share deal with a major airline
with a larger network, however, could have a significant impact on
Delta's revenue recovery.

Ready To Use An 'Armada'

Normally mild mannered, Mullin expressed great passion for protecting
Delta's network and pledged to use carrier's "armada" of products and
subsidiaries to compete with a new US Airways alliance and the existing
low-fare carriers, such as Southwest and AirTran. Because US Airways
seems have taken longer than expected to sign an alliance with another
carrier, Mullin is in a wait-and-see mode. However, he said he does stay
in touch with "all parties" and is considering "a number of options" if
and when US Airways signs a deal.

Ironically, US Airways for many years has been "the least attractive
girl at the airline prom," said JP Morgan analyst Jamie Baker. "Yet,
suddenly, suitors are lining up, flowers in hand."

Of all the potential partners, he said a US Airways alliance with United
or Continental would be "materially more beneficial to US Airways' East
Coast network than to the suitor's network." He noted that the "apparent
eagerness" exhibited by Continental and United stems from the fact that
"the alternative -- sitting back and doing nothing -- is far more
dangerous."

For Continental, in particular, it is better to "dance with the lonesome
prom partner in her current form than find out down the road what a few
years at the gym and a facelift can yield." Similarly, given United's
prior attempt to purchase US Airways, it has the "requisite analysis
that can be easily dusted off as it pursues US Airways," which may give
it the lead over Continental, Baker said.

Regardless of which carrier US Airways picks as a partner, Mullin said
he is just as concerned now as he was during the period last year when
US Airways and United were attempting to merge. "Delta is still the
target," he said.

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