EGU 2025 - Session NH2.1 "Multidisciplinary Efforts in Understanding Volcanic Processes, and in Quantifying Volcanic Hazard and Environmental Impact"

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From: fabiodioguardi@xxxxxxxxx


Dear community,

We would like to invite you to contribute to Session NH2.1 "*Multidisciplinary
Efforts in Understanding Volcanic Processes, and in Quantifying Volcanic
Hazard and Environmental Impact*" at the next EGU2025 conference in Vienna
(27 April - 2 May 2025). The abstract submission deadline is 13:00 CET, 15
January 2025.









*Volcanoes are complex systems capable to cause catastrophic impacts.
Understanding, modelling and forecasting volcanic hazards is challenging
because they encompass a wide range of processes from grain to flow scales,
whose complexity often require a multidisciplinary approach to
quantitatively model them. In fact, there is always a need for the
development of robust and reliable models for forecasting volcanic hazards,
both syn- and post-eruptive.Syn-eruptive hazards include gravity-driven
flows (e.g., pyroclastic density currents, rock avalanches), volcanic
plumes and gas emission and dispersion, which can all be theoretically
described by computational fluid dynamics, and experimentally modelled. But
application of experimental and numerical modelling results to large-scale
natural processes is often not straightforward due to scaling issues and
simplifications of the modelled systems.Uncertainty management is a central
issue in volcanic hazard analyses and a plethora of statistical methods
have attempted to quantify uncertainty in both hazard modelling and
eruption forecasting. The data underlying models for both eruption
occurrence and hazard propagation are multi-scale, multi-dimensional and
nonlinearly correlated, and often not representative of the volcano's
potential behaviour. Additional knowledge is often required to manage
causal links, and to extrapolate outside of the perceived bounds of
existing data.Post-eruption, understanding the origin, transport and
emplacement mechanisms of volcanic deposits is fundamental for accurately
reconstructing accumulation histories of ancient and modern
volcano-sedimentary records, thus helping to assess future hazards and
their potential economic impacts. Many knowledge gaps in these records
could be reduced by bringing together multidisciplinary specialists and
methods, combining classical field-based work with novel laboratory
modelling approaches.The session aims at advancing volcanic hazard
estimation and response through multidisciplinary approaches, including:â?¢ A
better description of uncertainty in volcanic hazard estimates through the
use of statistical, analogue, surrogate and synthetic data,â?¢ Field studies
of volcanoclastic features in sedimentary records,â?¢ Analysis of the short-
and long-term downstream effects of volcanic events on active landscapes
(landslides, lahars, re-sedimentation, flooding etc.).â?¢ New developments in
statistical, experimental and computational modelling.*

Thanks!

Fabio Dioguardi,  Melody Whitehead, Alexis Bougouin, Jacopo Selva, Mark
Bebbington


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