IAVCEI 2025: Operational hazard forecasts: source parameters and model evaluation (Theme 6)

[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

 



2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2


From: "Deligne, Natalia I" <ndeligne@xxxxxxxx>


We invite you to submit an abstract to our session "*Operational hazard
forecasts: source parameters and model evaluation*" at the upcoming IAVCEI
2025 Scientific Assembly (29 June - 4 July, 2025). Our session is part of
Theme 6.

*Session Description:*
Volcanic eruptions can last from minutes through decades, and produce
hazards that can impact hundreds of square meters through to the entire
globe. While an eruption is imminent and/or ongoing, there is a need to
produce authoritative, timely, and accurate hazard forecasts for
potentially affected areas. Operational forecasts follow an established
protocol (generally specific to the responsible entity) for the generation
and issuance of the forecast, using an identified numerical model(s). The
model requires the input of event-specific parameters, such as vent
location, mass eruption rate (effusion rate), eruption duration, and other
parameters specific to the hazard.
We welcome contributions on how initial model parameters are selected, how
parameters are input and updated in near real time, and how operational
model performance is evaluated and improved upon. We particularly invite
contributions from volcano observatories, Volcanic Ash Advisory Centers,
and others with mandates to generate and disseminate operational hazard
forecasts.
*This session is sponsored by the World Organization of Volcano
Observatories (WOVO), the World Meteorological Organization Advisory Group
on Volcanic Science for Aviation Applications (WMO AG-VSA), and the IAVCEI
Commission on Tephra Hazard Modelling.*
CONVENERS
Natalia Deligne (U.S. Geological Survey â?? Hawaiian Volcano Observatory,
Hilo, Hawaii, United States)
Thomas Aubry (University of Exeter, Penryn, United Kingdom)
Samantha Engwell (British Geological Survey â?? Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United
Kingdom)
Annalisa Cappello (Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia â??
Catania, Catania, Italy)

*Abstract submission deadline: *20 December 2024,
https://on-line-form.eu/iavcei2025sa/abstracts/index.php?coo=1
<https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://on-line-form.eu/iavcei2025sa/abstracts/index.php?coo=1__;!!IKRxdwAv5BmarQ!fjJz9D1Dz1q8nyvYsdI6dK-vW-mRYlpLArnRP87gyYpSrr7sUVISaquIolSb-JAGMyoA6Hst-plMqEFIgjz7T4yPTg$>
*A corresponding author/presenter can submit a maximum of one abstract as
an oral presentation and one as an additional poster presentation. (The
corresponding author is the person who submits the abstract, and the
presenting authors is expected to attend and present in person.)*


2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2

------------------------------


[Index of Archives]     [Yosemite Backpacking]     [Earthquake Notices]     [USGS News]     [Yosemite Campgrounds]     [Steve's Art]     [Hot Springs Forum]

  Powered by Linux