Call for Papers: Uncertainty Quantification in Volcanology: Observations, Numerical Modelling and Hazard/Risk Assessment - Special Issue

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From: Alessandro Tadini <aletado@xxxxxxxxxxx>


Dear colleagues,

we would like to inform you about the following Special Issue "Uncertainty
Quantification in Volcanology: Observations, Numerical Modelling and
Hazard/Risk Assessment" which is now open for submission in the Bullettin
of Volcanology (https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.springer.com/journal/445/updates/23906422__;!!IKRxdwAv5BmarQ!abskoSCHh9m-hnA8_b4Y2dvA0LZdeReiJtkovMng3v0xzfh5wfryOZvIGLQBLNCAzRpm_Rp9ZUu9G0qz$ 
<https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.springer.com/journal/445/updates/23906422__;!!IKRxdwAv5BmarQ!af8RZbQPzFM-trNFxH_7Vhs5JCGhf-vl0KRYTHwjyMcC8tEjxrXZOAGiRnWsGO3qL34G74jfiinMjTA$>).
You will find the full description of this special issue at the end of this
email.

*Guest editors and organizing committee*
Alessandro Tadini, Silvia Massaro, Andrea Bevilacqua, Pablo Tierz, Alvaro
Aravena


If you would like to participate, please send a provisional title, abstract
and list of authors to either Alessandro Tadini (alessandro.tadini@xxxxxxx)
or Silvia Massaro (silvia.massaro@xxxxxxx) by *28 February 2023*. The
deadline for manuscript submission is *31 July 2023*.

*Deadline for manuscript submission might be extended in case authors need
more time to submit their papers.*

Papers will be published as accepted, and compiled in parallel in the
Topical collection and in the main body of the journal.


*For all information in one page kindly download the PDF below:*


*https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://resource-cms.springernature.com/springer-cms/rest/v1/content/23915692/data/v1__;!!IKRxdwAv5BmarQ!abskoSCHh9m-hnA8_b4Y2dvA0LZdeReiJtkovMng3v0xzfh5wfryOZvIGLQBLNCAzRpm_Rp9ZcTYCB-V$ 
<https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://resource-cms.springernature.com/springer-cms/rest/v1/content/23915692/data/v1__;!!IKRxdwAv5BmarQ!af8RZbQPzFM-trNFxH_7Vhs5JCGhf-vl0KRYTHwjyMcC8tEjxrXZOAGiRnWsGO3qL34G74jfzT4yXEA$>*

We hope you will find this special issue of interest!
Best Regards

Alessandro, Silvia, Andrea, Pablo, Alvaro


SPECIAL ISSUE DESCRIPTION


The observation and modelling of volcanic phenomena is always affected by a
certain degree of uncertainty, both epistemic (i.e. related to incomplete
knowledge of the phenomena) and aleatoric (i.e. representing the physical
variability typical of complex natural systems). While uncertainty can be
reduced, it can never be fully eliminated. For instance, the uncertainty
does not necessarily make any model or data invalid; rather, effective
assessments should (1) identify limitations, (2) support model calibration,
validation, and benchmarking, and (3) provide confidence in measurements
and predictions.

In particular, the study of volcanic hazard in a probabilistic framework
(PVHA) has become one of the most rapidly developing topics in volcanology,
with key applications in decision-making and risk mitigation actions. A
number of numerical tools have been developed to help scientists applying
quantitative methods in different volcanic settings. These methods are
essential for reproducing pre-eruptive and post-eruptive volcanic processes
under different conditions and over a wide range of spatial and temporal
scales.

In this Special Issue, we welcome contributions about:

   - uncertainty quantification of volcanic phenomena, with a specific
   focus on physical processes and/or hazard/risk assessments and maps;
   - uncertainty quantification of numerical models and laboratory data in
   volcanology. Examples include model validation and benchmarking studies,
   multi-model approaches;
   - the use of numerical modeling in long and short-term PVHA, with
   particular attention to hazard and risk communication, education programs,
   and civil protection purposes.


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