CoV11 session on uncertainty evaluation and quantification

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9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9


From: "Mead, Stuart" <S.Mead@xxxxxxxxxxxx>


Dear Colleagues,



With the abstract submission deadline of 25th January approaching at a
rapid pace, we would like to invite you to contribute to the following
session on evaluation and quantification of uncertainty in models and data
to support hazard and risk assessment at Cities on Volcanoes 11 (
https://pcoconvin.eventsair.com/volcanoes11/session03#S35 ).



Errors and uncertainties are present in all models and data of volcanic
processes as well as in assessments of hazards, risks, and benefits to
society. Despite their pervasiveness, their evaluation and quantification
are sometimes limited in volcanic hazard and risk assessment. We seek to
open discussions on error and uncertainty, highlight the benefits that
quantification of data/model errors and uncertainties can bring and
demonstrate ways it can enhance decision making for risk mitigation.
Examples of submissions we expect to this session include model validation
and benchmarking studies, model averaging approaches to improve hazard
estimates and techniques to measure error/uncertainty in field and
laboratory data.



We hope to see you in Crete soon!


9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9-9

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End of Volcano Digest - 13 Jan 2020 to 15 Jan 2020 (#2020-6)
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