Dear colleagues,
S1.15 Looking toward the next generation of volcanic hazard assessment efforts
Volcanic eruptions present a wide variety of hazardous phenomena (e.g. lava flows, tephra dispersal, pyroclastic density currents, gas emissions) that may occur within short timeframes and impact very large areas. Real time monitoring of eruptive events can be operated at local and global scale through the use of field data and different remote sensing techniques and is able to follow the evolution of the eruptive phenomena. Real-time forecasting of hazardous phenomena is traditionally based on the numerical description of volcanic processes during the eruption and benefit from various strategies of data assimilation that can provide opportunities for model validation and adjustments from the integration of geophysical data. A synergistic combination of geophysical monitoring with dedicated numerical modelling has shown to largely improve our understanding of volcanic phenomena. Hazard assessments of the potential activity scenarios prior to an event and numerical modelling during periods of unrest to identify likely affected areas can improve resilience and preparedness. This requires a comprehensive characterization of volcanic history and activity patterns, based on field studies and geophysical investigations. Today, a near-real time modelling strategy able to define the state of the activity, the probable evolution and its potential impact scenario is realistic. We welcome contributions which combine numerical modelling, geophysical monitoring and field observations and bring together remote sensing, modelling and emergency response communities within a joint volcanic hazard focus.
Invited Speakers:
Peter Webley, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska.
Alexis Herault, Conservatoire national des arts et métiers, Paris, France.
The deadline for abstract submission is 10 May 2018 (https://www.citiesonvolcanoes
Best Regards,
The Conveners:
Ciro Del Negro | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Italy • ciro.delnegro@xxxxxxx
Simona Scollo | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Italy • simona.scollo@xxxxxxx
Costanza Bonadonna | University of Geneva, Switzerland • Costanza.bonadonna@xxxxxxxx
Frances Beckett | Met Office, UK • frances.beckett@xxxxxxxxxxxx
Fabrizio Ferrucci | The Open University, UK • fabrizio.ferrucci@xxxxxxxxxx
Joan Marti | Environmental Geology and Geohazards – CSIC, Spain • joan.marti@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
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