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Invitation to participate: Soufrière Hills Volcano quiescence study (Reminder 1)
From: Nicole Weeks <nicole.weeks@xxxxxxxxx>Invitation to participate: Soufrière Hills Volcano quiescence study (Reminder 1)
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Dear Colleagues,
This is a gentle reminder that we are carrying out a survey of scientific and technical staff working in the field of volcanology around the world. To those of you who have already participated, thank you.
The
purpose of the survey is to investigate the ability of volcanologists
to estimate probabilities in conjunction with their knowledge
preferences when addressing
a problem of providing expert opinion on the likelihood of an eruption
ceasing.
The survey is part of a project funded by the Royal Society.
The
survey consists of three parts. The first consists of some general
demographic questions and also the estimation of the risk of a set of
events taking place.
This will take approximately 30 minutes to complete. The second part is
an exercise in estimating the end of the eruption of the Soufriere
Hills Volcano on the island of Montserrat. The time allowed for this
task is 40 minutes. The final estimation task, similar
to the first, takes about 20 minutes.
We
hope that this project will generate some exciting results for the
volcano community, and make a major contribution to the understanding of
global volcanic
risk. We recognize that this is a substantial time commitment and so if
you participate we would invite you to enter into a draw for a $200 USD
Amazon gift certificate.
Please
note that
this study is not endorsed by the
Montserrat Volcano Observatory and has no bearing on or evaluation of
the performance or functioning of the Montserrat Volcano Observatory or
the Government of Montserrat.
We
are asking all volcanologists and technical staff working at volcano
observatories or in monitoring institutions to fill out the survey,
which is at:
If
you are involved in volcano monitoring, please consider taking the time
to fill it out (roughly 90 minutes). If you have any comments, feedback
or questions, please do send an email to the survey co-ordinator, nicole.weeks@xxxxxxxxx
We are extremely grateful to all those who participate and look forward to sharing the results! A summary of the findings will be posted on the Volcano Listserv in due course and will be published in a scholarly journal.
With very best wishes
Prof Herbert Huppert (Cambridge University, UK)
Prof Willy Aspinall (University of Bristol)
Associate Professor Colin Wastell (Macquarie University, Australia)We are extremely grateful to all those who participate and look forward to sharing the results! A summary of the findings will be posted on the Volcano Listserv in due course and will be published in a scholarly journal.
With very best wishes
Prof Herbert Huppert (Cambridge University, UK)
Prof Willy Aspinall (University of Bristol)
Volcano Listserv is a collaborative venture among Arizona State University (ASU), Portland State University (PSU), the Global Volcanism Program (GVP) of the Smithsonian Institution's National Museum of Natural History, and the International Association for Volcanology and Chemistry of the Earth's Interior (IAVCEI).
ASU - http://www.asu.edu/ PSU - http://pdx.edu/ GVP - http://www.volcano.si.edu/ IAVCEI - http://www.iavcei.org/
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