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EGU 2016. "Quantification of Volcanic Hazards"
From: jacopo selva <jacopo.selva@xxxxxxx>EGU 2016. "Quantification of Volcanic Hazards"
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Dear colleagues,
On the behalf of my co-conveners (Henry Odbert, Simona Scollo, Shinji Takarada, Jan Lindsay, Sebastien Biass), I would like to invite you to submit your contributions to the upcoming EGU session NH2.5/GMPV7.6 "Quantification of Volcanic Hazards".
Deadline for receipt of abstracts is 13 January 2016, 13:00 CET.
We are looking forward to receiving your contributions.
Best wishes,
Jacopo Selva
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Session: NH2.5/GMPV7.6 "Quantification of Volcanic Hazards (co-organized)"
Link: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/session/20670
Session description:
Assessment of volcanic hazard has been one of the most pursued goals in volcanology, especially for volcanoes near densely inhabited areas. A volcanic hazard assessment is the result of a long chain of different analyses, starting from the study of the potential sources of hazardous phenomena to the capability of forecasting and modelling the evolution of the source and the propagation of the hazardous phenomena from source to target. Volcanic hazard may be caused by a long series of phenomena (tephra fall, pyroclastic flows, lava flows, surges, blasts, ballistic, tsunamis, etc.), including phenomena not necessarily happening during volcanic eruptions (e.g., lahars, gas emissions, deformations, earthquakes, etc.). In addition, also the time frame for volcanic hazard analyses may strongly vary, from long-term (years), to short-term (weeks or days) to early warning (during propagation from source to target). In recent times, the paramount importance of uncertainty quantification and of its communication has been recognized also in volcanic hazard analyses. In this context, it becomes essential constraining both the natural variability of the phenomena (e.g., vent position, eruptive size, source evolution, wind distribution, etc.) and the limited knowledge about the studied systems and phenomena (e.g., due to few data, scarce constrains of physical processes, etc.).
We welcome contributions reporting advances in volcanic hazard assessments. Significant advances in quantification of volcanic hazards may derive from a broad set of studies, spacing from the improvement of data on past events to the development of new input information to constrain the volcanic processes (e.g., from field or space observations, laboratory experiments, etc.), from the development of new statistical procedures to the improvement of the reliability and/or the computational performances of physical models. Emphasis will be given to methods for improving the treatment and the communication of uncertainties, and the forecasting capability.
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