****************************************************************** From: Paolo Papale <papale@xxxxxxxxxx> ****************************************************************** Dear Colleagues, we invite you to consider submission of contributions to the following session at the EGU General Assembly 2008, which will be held in Vienna from 13 - 18 April 2008 (http://meetings.copernicus.org/egu2008): NH3.5: Short-term volcanic hazard and eruption forecasting: theory and case studies Division Program: Natural Hazards Session Description: One of the most critical issues of volcanic hazard evaluation is the definition of the expected time-scales and scenarios under impending eruption conditions. In fact, while medium-long term hazard evaluation is mostly useful for land-use planning, short- term hazard defines the timing and extent of Civil Protection operations that must be rapidly set up during the agitated phases of transition from volcanic unrest to volcanic crisis. Differently from medium-long term hazard evaluation, this implies the heavy involvement of information coming from volcano monitoring networks, and the need of an established procedure leading to rapid decisions by scientists on the current state of the volcano. This session invites contributions dealing with the difficult issue of understanding volcanoes while they change their status and are prone to erupt, with the aim of discussing the principles and paradigms for a confident short-term volcanic hazard evaluation. Approaches based on theoretical studies, forward and inverse modeling, statistical analysis, and personal experience are all welcome. Particularly welcome are accounts on real cases, either successful or not, which evidence the principles followed for the scientific management of volcanic crises throughout the world. Conveners: Paolo Papale, Warner Marzocchi, Chris Newhall Submission Deadline: January 14, 2008 Sincerely The Session Conveners ============================================================== To unsubscribe from the volcano list, send the message: signoff volcano to: listserv@xxxxxxx, or write to: volcano-request@xxxxxxxx To contribute to the volcano list, send your message to: volcano@xxxxxxxx Please do not send attachments. ==============================================================
