> From: Geoff Huston <gih@xxxxxxxxx>
> I would like to correct a few numbers in Tony's comments based on my
> work in this area that Tony has referred to.
> ...
> At this rate the central pool will exhaust in 2018, some 14 years hence.
The incredibly rich irony, for those with long memories, is that *IPv6 only
exists because of a previous round of FUD about IPv4 address exhaustion* -
one spread by the proponents of yet another protocol that was going to
"replace" IPv4 - i.e. CLNP.
"It's deja vu all over again".
Of course, there's a wondeful recursive flavour to this go-round (as noted
above) that was missing from the last one.
> (Of course you should consult your favourite oracle, mystic, soothsayer
> or whatever for your own preferred version of the future.)
At one point, Frank Solensky had a very interesting graph - which was of the
forward motion of the "IPv4 addresses will run out" date. (I.e. the X axis
was "date prediction was made", and the Y axis was "predicted date of
exhaustion"). It would be very interesting to see what it would look like
today, if updated.
Noel
_______________________________________________
Ietf@xxxxxxxx
https://www1.ietf.org/mailman/listinfo/ietf