On Fri, Apr 21, 2023 at 3:39 PM Ben Cotton <bcotton@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
On Fri, Apr 21, 2023 at 4:05 PM Maxwell G <maxwell@xxxxxxx> wrote:
>
> What evidence shows that the group is ever shrinking? I often see Self
> Introduction posts and new people interacting with project. I suppose
> that whether they continue interacting afterwards is another question.
I'm glad you asked. Earlier this week I decided to avoid doing other
work by putting together some quick charts of devel list
participation. Here's the number of unique participants per month from
2004–2022:
https://bcotton.fedorapeople.org/images/devel-participation-monthly.png
And for a less-noisy version, the median of the monthly numbers per year:
https://bcotton.fedorapeople.org/images/devel-participation-mean.png
And on discourse you could have pasted these pictures directly in without having to upload them somewhere... ;)
There are a lot of questions left unanswered by this quick analysis,
but there's a clear trend in fewer participants over time. In fact,
last month had the second smallest participant count (tied with
October 2022). Of course, these charts don't show _why_, but they do
support the assertion that folks are dropping out of the conversation
faster than others are joining.
I think this is especially concerning because Fedora seems to be more popular than ever. If we had a way to measure that and include it in the graph (devel participants as a % of users?) I have a feeling the slope would be much more negative.
Not that it proves Discourse would change that, but still...
Thanks,
Richard
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