I've already given my $0.02 about what that target audience could be:
people who are not computer experts.
I agree with you and think it probably makes sense to do the "XP/OSX replacement" type desktop, if only because we've been vaguely trying to do that so far.
But I'd also like to see us figure out how to explicitly go for developers. In particular, web site developers. I want a version of the Fedora desktop that I can hand to my friend who has the idea for the next great website. "Here, this comes Ruby on Rails set up out of the box, Eclipse with Web development tools, Wireshark, etc." No OpenOffice
Then also make it easy to deploy a Fedora server with your changes.
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