SFGate: Boeing ups 20-year plane market forecast

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Wednesday, July 9, 2008 (AP)
Boeing ups 20-year plane market forecast
By JESSICA MINTZ, AP Business Writer


   (07-09) 13:06 PDT SEATTLE, (AP) --
   The Boeing Co. on Wednesday raised its outlook for spending on commercial
airplanes over the next 20 years by 14 percent, helped in part by an
expected 5 percent rise in worldwide air travel and the demand for new,
more fuel-efficient planes.
   In its annual forecast, Boeing said it expects 29,400 new planes to enter
commercial fleets by 2027, worth an estimated $3.2 trillion. That's higher
than last year's outlook, which had called for 28,600 new passenger and
freighter planes valued at $2.8 trillion.
   Boeing's forecast encompasses the work of all commercial plane makers,
including the world's largest, Toulouse, France-based Airbus.
   Boeing said it expects airlines and leasing companies will replace more
aging planes with new ones than previously forecast, as rising fuel costs
and other economic factors make newer, more efficient planes more
attractive. In 2027, Boeing predicted 82 percent of the world's commercial
planes will be ones that do not exist today.
   In this year's forecast, Boeing slashed the number of regional jets it
expects to enter service in the coming two decades by 32 percent. That's
because airlines will look instead to bigger single-aisle and twin-aisle
planes, which hold more passengers and are more fuel-efficient.
   As a result, the Chicago-based company cut its forecast for total fleet
size in 2027 by 1.6 percent to 35,800 from its earlier outlook of 36,400.
As of the end of 2007, Boeing said there were 19,000 passenger and
freighter planes in service worldwide.
   Boeing said Asia will spend more on airplanes in the next 20 years than
other regions, and that Europe's spending will equal that of North America
for the first time.
   Shares of Boeing edged up 15 cents to $66.07 in afternoon trading. -----=
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Copyright 2008 AP

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