NYTimes.com Article: New Scrutiny for Airline Bailout Plan Three Years After Sept. 11

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New Scrutiny for Airline Bailout Plan Three Years After Sept. 11

September 15, 2004
 By MICHELINE MAYNARD





The federal loan board created in 2001 to help assure the
survival of the floundering airline industry may ultimately
face the opposite task and be forced to decide whether to
pull the plug on US Airways.

That is decidedly not what Congress had in mind when it
passed $15 billion in emergency aid to the airlines only 17
days after Sept. 11. And it is hardly a position the three
members of the Air Transportation Stabilization Board
expected to be in after giving assistance to US Airways.

But it is a distinct possibility, given that many experts
think the decision of US Airways to seek bankruptcy
protection for the second time means that it could
liquidate. And that further illustrates the sad record of
the bailout effort, industry analysts said.

In the end, the loan guarantees did little to help the
biggest airlines recover, either because they did not seek
them, their bids were turned down, or they were unable to
use the aid to their advantage.

The only two airlines of note rescued by federal aid were
America West and Frontier, both smaller players, not the
major companies that find themselves in the worst shape in
their histories.

US Airways, which received the biggest package of loan
guarantees awarded by the board - $900 million in 2003 - is
in default. That means the loan board and the airline's
lenders have the right to claim the cash, planes, airport
gates and flight routes securing the $717 million loan
balance.

That drastic step is not going to happen in the near
future. On Sunday, the board said in a statement that it
understood the airline's circumstances, and its lawyer said
on Monday that the board was "supportive" of its efforts to
restructure.

For the board to be put in such a situation shows the
guarantee program was "not a good idea," said Gerald A.
Grinstein, chief executive of Delta Air Lines. "We'd be
better off if the government had not gotten into the
business."

Like a horseplayer at the racetrack, the loan program was
"the government handicapping the business," Mr. Grinstein
said.

But Mr. Grinstein, who became Delta's chief in January, was
not in that job when his company joined the airlines that
sought and received help on two fronts.

Congress authorized $5 billion in direct grants, to help
make up for losses incurred when the air system was shut
down after the terrorist attacks, and $10 billion in loan
guarantees meant to help secure financing the airlines
feared would not be available in capital markets.

While executives were universally happy with the cash, the
loan guarantee part of the equation has proved far less
useful.

Aside from US Airways, the only other big airline that
applied for loan guarantees was United, which did not
receive them and is still mired in Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

Though they collectively lost billions of dollars after the
attacks, American, Continental, Delta and Northwest all
decided not to undergo the extensive scrutiny and hand over
the stake that the board demanded in return for aid.

Southwest did not apply because it remained profitable.


Douglas M. Steenland, president of Northwest Airlines,
said, "If one had the benefit of 20-20 hindsight, it would
be better now to have had the grant program and not the
loan guarantees."

The real value of the loan program lay in the reassurance
it gave financial markets that the airline industry would
not disintegrate after the attacks, Mr. Steenland said.

But in essence, it simply staved off and may have worsened
the crisis the industry faces, he said. And now, the loan
board is in the middle.

Last week, the board - made up of Edward M. Gramlich, a
Federal Reserve governor; Brian C. Roseboro, a Treasury
under secretary; and Jeffrey N. Shane, an under secretary
at the Transportation Department - agreed US Airways could
draw from $750 million in cash to run its operations.

But court documents show the board, and the airline's
lenders, are demanding an accounting.

Each week, from now until Oct. 15, US Airways must meet
weekly cash levels and provide a 13-week cash forecast. And
the airline must give full access to its books to the
board, lenders, Lazard - which is the group's financial
adviser - and others.

For their part, the lenders and the loan board agreed they
would not try to seize the company's cash or try to take
control of the airline during that period.

That arrangement does not satisfy Robert W. Mann Jr., an
industry consultant, who said the board was putting too
much faith in an airline that has received four rounds of
federal help: the original cash grants, the loan
guarantees, revised loan terms last spring and a portion of
the $750 million in cash the board agreed it could use.

"My sense is that the A.T.S.B. is being hasty," Mr. Mann
said, in allowing the airline to tap its cash, before
seeing and reviewing its restructuring plan.

Meanwhile, the federal pension agency is upset with the
airline for its plans to miss a $110 million payment to two
pension plans today and for warning that it may not make
future contributions.

"Bankruptcy should not be the path of least resistance to
deal with your pension problems," said Bradley D. Belt,
executive director of the Pension Benefit Guaranty
Corporation.

Pensions are only one of the airline's problems. Eventually
the airline will have to seek financing to exit bankruptcy,
made difficult because the loan board and lenders have
claim to the airline's assets.

Phillip A. Baggaley, an analyst with Standard & Poor's,
said to persuade the board to let the airline use some of
its collateral, the airline might have to pay down a
good-sized chunk of its guaranteed loans, along with fees
to the board.

But if US Airways is unable to get that far, the loan board
will be on the spot, Mr. Steenland said.

"There could come a point where the A.T.S.B. has to either
assure that the loan is paid off in full, or accept a
diminution in loan payments to save the airline," he said.
And then, the board members "potentially face a very
difficult position," Mr. Steenland said.

In Washington yesterday, Senator Rick Santorum, Republican
of Pennsylvania, said "things are not looking good," for US
Airways, according to Reuters. Speaking with reporters
after a meeting with Bruce R. Lakefield, the chief
executive, Mr. Santorum blamed the situation on four
leaders of the pilots' union from Philadelphia and
Pittsburgh, who blocked a vote last week on the airline's
proposal for wage and benefit concessions. "They've got
their pound of flesh, shareholders have lost everything,"
he said. "Now where are we?"

Last night, the pilots' union replied that US Airways'
filing was prompted by its inability to make the pension
payment today, not by the pilots' action.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/15/business/15air.html?ex=1096273875&ei=1&en=1ad05585012f46b5


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