NYTimes.com Article: Ryanair Reports Slight Recovery in Quarter

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Ryanair Reports Slight Recovery in Quarter

August 4, 2004
 By BRIAN LAVERY





DUBLIN, Aug. 3 - Ryanair, the discount Irish airline,
announced on Tuesday that its after-tax profit rose 30
percent in the first quarter, to 52.6 million euros ($63.4
million) including exceptional items, as the number of
passengers rose 28 percent from a year earlier, to 6.6
million. The earnings beat analysts' expectations and
marked a slight recovery from three months ago, when the
company reported its first quarterly loss.

But investors worried that rising oil prices and falling
yields - the average revenue per passenger, which dropped 6
percent - meant that Ryanair, Europe's largest low-fare
carrier, might struggle to regain its momentum, and its
shares slid 2 percent, to 4.33 euros ($5.21), in Dublin.

Ryanair acknowledged that tough conditions would continue,
but suggested that it would fare better in the difficult
environment than its competitors. Michael O'Leary, the
chief executive, said that yields were likely to fall 5
percent to 10 percent in the current quarter, followed by
an additional 10 percent to 20 percent toward the end of
the year.

"Chronically loss-making competitors will continue to dump
prices," he said, "resulting in even more airline
casualties this winter."

Investors have admired Ryanair for its ability to hedge
fuel costs, but its contracts run only through September.
Mr. O'Leary said that the company would resume hedging if
oil prices, now above $44 a barrel, fell back to $30. If
prices remain at their current levels for the rest of the
year, fuel will cost the airline an additional 20 million
euros ($24 million).

Ryanair promised to cut costs elsewhere rather than raise
ticket prices, which are often as low as $1.20 one-way
before airport taxes. The proposed changes are typical of
Ryanair's overall strategy, and are not necessarily an
immediate response to fuel costs or competition, said John
Mattimoe, an analyst at Merrion Stockbrokers in Dublin, who
rates the stock a "hold."

"They took a decision to forgo short-term profit
maximization in order to increase the pain on competitors
as much as possible," he said, but "these are cost savings
that they may have gotten anyway."

Ryanair's main cost-cutting measures include plans to
finish replacing its Boeing 737-200's by the end of next
year with fuel-efficient 737-800's, which carry 60 more
passengers a flight, and to pursue a case against the
British Airports Authority over fuel taxes, which could
save the airline 3 million euros a year, a spokesman, Paul
Fitzsimmons, said.

Ryanair has already installed nonreclining seats on its
planes because they require less maintenance, and has
raised the weight limit for carry-on baggage to cut back on
check-in desks and baggage handlers.

Ancillary revenues like car rentals, hotel bookings, credit
cards and personal loans jumped 40 percent in the quarter,
and could double again in the next year or two, giving
Ryanair a significant cushion to deal with higher fuel
costs, Mr. Fitzsimmons said in a telephone interview.

With cash reserves of 1.3 billion euros, "we're in a much
better position to absorb changes like that than anyone
else," he said.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/08/04/business/worldbusiness/04ryan.html?ex=1092642051&ei=1&en=dbc08c083067a9b3


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