SF Gate: No-frills, low-cost airlines are fast gaining ground/'Regular' airlines getting more like discounters

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Sunday, August 10, 2003 (SF Chronicle)
No-frills, low-cost airlines are fast gaining ground/'Regular' airlines get=
ting more like discounters
Jane Engle, Los Angeles Times



   Low-fare airlines and the majors are flying so close together that someo=
ne
should file a near-miss report. The line between no-frills and full
service is quickly blurring. Consider these changes:
   -- This fall, JetBlue passengers will get more leg room. The upstart
discounter, which provides leather upholstery and a TV screen at every
seat, will offer two extra inches. Some American Airlines' coach
customers, meanwhile, soon will lose as much as 3 inches of room they
gained three years ago. American said it would add seats on some planes to
let it offer competitive fares.
   -- Southwest has offered no free lunch -- or any other hot meal -- for
years. Now US Airways has stopped serving free meals in coach on most long
flights. Passengers may buy food on board or bring their own. Several
other majors are trying similar programs.
   -- You don't have to fly a discounter to get the claustrophobic,
cattle-car experience, as cash-strapped majors cut flights to match demand
drained by terrorist attacks, recession, war jitters and the outbreak of
SARS.
   Continental and United, for instance, flew fuller than ever in June. More
than 80 percent of their seats were occupied on average, compared with
fewer than 75 percent of Southwest's. That's good news for the majors, but
not so pleasant for passengers on full or overbooked flights.
   These changes result from a seismic shift in the airline industry, as the
financially struggling majors duke it out with discounters for a dwindling
pool of travelers. It's a "major correction" similar to what periodically
shakes up the stock market, said Terry Trippler of www.cheapseats.com.
Delta Air Lines chief executive Leo Mullin, in a speech last month in
Washington, D. C., predicted a "slugfest" between traditional airlines
like his and the low- fare carriers. What makes the battle at once
bruising for airlines and perfect for penny-pinching passengers is that
the Internet makes it so easy to compare fares.
   Airlines, as a result, are forced to drop fares to the lowest common
denominator. To survive, the majors, saddled with costs too high to afford
these fares, are reducing flights and on-board service. The
lean-operating, low-fare airlines, flush with cash and hope, are "ordering
planes as fast as they can build them," Trippler said -- and adding a
service perk or two. The two sides of the industry are starting to meld.
   "It's almost at the point that when you say 'the majors,' you have to
include Southwest, JetBlue and ATA," Trippler said. Southwest, for
instance, says it's the nation's fourth-largest carrier, based on
boardings last year.
   Phil Roberts, vice president and managing partner of Unisys R2A, an
airline consulting company in Hayward, has taken to calling American,
Delta, Northwest and their ilk "legacy carriers," referring to their
existence before the industry was deregulated in 1978.
   He also dislikes the terms "low-fare" and "discount" carriers. It's most
often the legacy carriers who do the discounting, in his view, to match
the low fares of the "discounters." Roberts calls Southwest and similar
airlines "low-cost carriers," based on how they run the business. (To
further complicate the distinction, Southwest and ATA existed before
deregulation, albeit not in their current forms.)
   Whatever they are called, this diverse collection of low-cost carriers is
gaining quickly on the legacy airlines. While the legacy lines reduce
flights and delay plane deliveries, Southwest has added about 35 flights
since January,
   and JetBlue boarded 60 percent more passengers in June than it did the
previous June.
   Numbers plucked from U.S. Department of Transportation reports by Hyuk
Park,
   senior Unisys R2A analyst, show the change:
   Legacy airlines -- including Alaska, American, Continental, Delta,
Northwest, United and US Airways -- lost more than 15 million passengers
overall in two years, as measured by boardings in the United States
(except Alaska) in the first quarter compared with the first quarter of
2001. The main low-cost carriers -- America West, Air Tran, ATA, Frontier,
JetBlue, Southwest and Spirit -- held their own.
   Legacy carriers handled about 63 percent of the nation's passengers in t=
he
first quarter and the low-cost carriers about 26 percent, with regional
carriers boarding the balance.
   The low-cost airlines' ascent is even more dramatic in California, where
Southwest has long been strong, and JetBlue has blossomed from its Long
Beach base. Such carriers boarded 42 percent of customers at the state's
top 10 airports in the first quarter, up from 35 percent in 2001, Park
said.
   Passengers stand to gain from this development despite the pain of lost
pampering.
   "Eventually the whole industry will operate on a low-cost basis," Roberts
said, making it possible to blend bargain fares with reasonable levels of
service.=20
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Copyright 2003 SF Chronicle

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