Continental CEO: winners, losers will emerge from current slump

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Continental CEO: winners, losers will emerge from current slump

HOUSTON (AP) ? The nation's major airlines are like three-legged horses in
an ugly race against financial losses fueled by a weak economy, terrorism
fears and a mysterious virus outbreak in Asia, Continental Airlines chief
executive Gordon Bethune said Wednesday. First-quarter earnings have
reflected the woes, with fifth-largest Continental Airlines losing the
least at $221 million and American Airlines, the world's largest carrier,
on Wednesday reported a $1 billion loss. The other two carriers that have
so far released earnings for the same period, Delta Air Lines and Northwest
Airlines, lost $466 million and $396 million respectively. "It's not a real
pretty sight. As you guys know, every race has a winner," Bethune told
business leaders at the Greater Houston Partnership. Bethune acknowledged
the larger losses came from larger airlines, but he said Fort Worth-based
American, twice as big as Continental, reported losses much more than twice
those of the Houston-based carrier. American continued struggling with
bankruptcy worries Wednesday with union unrest over the airline's approval
of executive bonuses and pension payments protected in Chapter 11 as
leaders pushed workers to approve a $1.8 billion package of cuts. The
current slump already has forced US Airways and United Airlines into
bankruptcy, but US Airways emerged earlier this month.

Bethune, a former Continental pilot, declined to speculate whether one of
the five largest carriers has to go under for the others to survive. But he
questioned United's chances, implying it needs an aviation leader. United
CEO Glenn Tilton, former chief executive of Texaco, Inc. before its
acquisition by Chevron Corp., was an aviation newcomer when he took the
helm of the second-largest carrier in September. United filed the largest
bankruptcy in aviation history in December. Continental twice survived
bankruptcy filings in 1983 and 1990. "If you start a watch repair business,
wouldn't it be good for you or I to know how a watch works?" Bethune said.
Analysts have said United appears on a course to avoid liquidation under
Tilton's leadership. But Paul Biederman, a professor of airline management
at New York University, said consolidation would help surviving airlines
and United is the most likely candidate to disappear. "That would be a
favorable outcome for the rest of the industry, with United's revenues
divided up. The others could take those assets and integrate them into
their systems," he said. Airlines have cut jobs, slashed costs and grounded
aircraft in response to the slump. Continental already had implemented
measures to cut costs and generate revenue in late 2002 to improve annual
operating results by $400 million, and last month the carrier introduced
additional measures, including elimination of 1,200 jobs, to save $500
million pretax. Bethune said winners and losers will emerge, and the
winners will be those that cut enough, but not too much. "Those that can't
do that, tough luck," he said.


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