Low-cost airlines get a lift in fiscally turbulent times

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Low-cost airlines get a lift in fiscally turbulent times
By Jayne Clark, USA TODAY

ATLANTA =97 When Delta rolled out its first reconfigured aircraft for Song,=
=20
the airline's new low-fare subsidiary last week, the message conveyed was=20
clear. And loud. Song's "house band" =97 Johnny and the Flourishes fronted=
 by=20
trumpet-blowing Song president John Selvaggio blasted Twist and Shout as a=
=20
line of tambourine-wielding flight attendants gyrated on stage. Assorted=20
ramp workers and ticket agents mingled, eating ice cream floats, then made=
=20
way for an impromptu conga line that snaked through the dank Hartsfield=20
airport hangar. Later, Selvaggio boarded the lime-green and white plane and=
=20
posed for photographs, hoisting the airline's signature cocktail, the Song=
=20
Sunrise, served in a plastic martini glass. Of course, whether travelers=20
primarily concerned with snagging a cheap airfare really care about an=20
airline's hipness quotient remains to be seen. But the fact is that=20
low-fare airlines are among the few rays of light in an industry clouded by=
=20
financial crisis.

Four of the six U.S. low-fares (excluding Song, which has no track record)=
=20
=97 Southwest, JetBlue, AirTran and Frontier =97 turned a profit in at least=
=20
one of the past two years, a feat that none of the "Big Six" carriers=20
(American, Continental, Delta, Northwest, United, and US Airways) achieved.=
=20
And while the major airlines' share of domestic passengers has shrunk in=20
the past decade from 90% to about 70%, the low-fares have experienced=20
explosive growth and are ferrying about 20% of domestic passengers. During=
=20
the same period, they've made tremendous inroads into the majors' turf. In=
=20
the early 1990s, a mere 15% of their routes overlapped. Today, the overlap=
=20
is 55%. Moreover, in a changing industry, not even the description=20
"low-fare" seems to fit. Analysts prefer the terms "alternative" or=20
"low-cost" airlines, referring to the way they conduct business rather than=
=20
the prices they charge. Simply put: Because their operating costs are=20
lower, they can charge less and still make money.

"We're in such a transition phase right now," says Joe Brancatelli, a=20
longtime industry watcher and creator of business travel Web site=20
JoeSentMe.com. "The old guys are going away, and a new generation of=20
carriers is coming up. It's hard to stick monikers on them." In fact, if=20
growth among the low-fare carriers continues at its present rate, in a=20
decade they will be transporting 40% of the nation's fliers, says analyst=20
Edmund Greenslet, publisher of the industry publication Airline Monitor.=20
Southwest Airlines, the pre-eminent low-fare success story and now the=20
nation's fourth largest airline in terms of passengers, could rank No. 1 in=
=20
10 years. And JetBlue, the 3-year-old whiz kid of the low-fares, could=20
outrank Delta by 2020, he predicts.

So it's not surprising that established airlines are getting on board with=
=20
the low-fare concept, despite past failures. Indeed, United, US Airways,=20
Continental and even Delta have made previous unsuccessful attempts.=20
Nevertheless, bankrupt United Airlines has said that as part of its=20
reorganization plan it would establish a low-cost carrier. Virgin=20
Atlantic's Richard Branson is examining prospects for a low-cost U.S.=20
airline patterned after Virgin Blue, his Australian discount carrier.=20
Midwest Airlines (formerly Midwest Express) will launch a low-fare offshoot=
=20
sometime in the third quarter. And on Tuesday, Delta launched Song with=20
service between New York's JFK airport and West Palm Beach, Fla. It will=20
gradually phase in flights between the northeast and other Florida vacation=
=20
hotspots and Las Vegas, with a planned 144 daily departures on 28 routes by=
=20
December.

In shaping its identity, Song has borrowed from two of its would-be rivals,=
=20
mixing the spunkiness of Southwest Airlines with the sophistication of=20
JetBlue. The start-up aims to distinguish itself with heavy doses of=20
panache and personality, courtesy of joke-cracking, game-playing flight=20
attendants, =E0 la Southwest. The former Delta flight attendants=
 "auditioned"=20
for their new jobs at Song and are referred to as "talent." Splashy=20
designer uniforms will be unveiled in the fall. The colorful seats are=20
leather. And the airline also will dish out in-flight perks (some for a=20
price), including seatback satellite television, =E0 la JetBlue. (The=20
entertainment options won't be available until October.) Like other=20
low-fare carriers, Song has adopted a simplified pricing structure. One-way=
=20
fares will range from $79 to $299. But analysts note that the=20
distinguishing characteristic of a low-fare carrier isn't necessarily lower=
=20
ticket prices. In an era of fare wars, every airline offers low fares under=
=20
certain conditions. Indeed, the major airlines often match or undercut=20
their discount rivals' restricted, advance-purchase prices. It's when=20
travelers are buying a last-minute, unrestricted ticket that the key value=
=20
of the low-cost airlines comes into play. For example, the walk-up fare for=
=20
a round-trip flight between New York and Los Angeles on a major airline is=
=20
more than $2,300. JetBlue's unrestricted fare is $600.

"The big airlines match fares when they have to, but charge more when they=
=20
think they have the passenger at their mercy. Increasingly, they don't,"=20
says Greenslet. "People know they have options." And that's thanks in large=
=20
part to the Internet, which has enabled travelers to see clearly the=20
inequities of airline fare structures and in turn, helped propel the rise=20
of the low-cost carriers. Case in point: A last-minute speaker at a recent=
=20
aviation conference attended by Greenslet was quoted a Washington-Los=20
Angeles fare of $2,200 on a major carrier. Southwest's last-minute fare was=
=20
$400. Flying Southwest required a 45-minute drive to Baltimore and a stop=20
in Nashville, but the speaker deemed the cash savings worth the=20
inconvenience. Greenslet relayed the anecdote in a speech at the conference=
=20
at which he voiced the frustration of many a business traveler who feel=20
gouged by such exorbitant fares. He startled the audience by bellowing from=
=20
the podium: "I'm mad as hell and I'm not going to take it anymore!" A=20
rebellion is underway, he declared. Among other characteristics of the=20
low-cost carriers:

They tend to impose fewer restrictions on their lowest fares, such as=20
Saturday-night stay requirements.  Penalties for itinerary changes may be=20
more lenient. Southwest, for example, imposes no charge. Spirit allows name=
=20
changes on tickets for a $25 fee.  They tend to rely on point-to-point=20
service rather than the hub-and-spokes system favored by the majors.  Their=
=20
customers may have lower expectations and, consequently, are less likely to=
=20
be disappointed.  "Southwest is the pioneer of this, and they've done it=20
brilliantly," says David Field, Americas editor of Airline Business=20
magazine. "With Southwest, it's 'we're not going to give you very much, but=
=20
we're going to tell jokes.' And with JetBlue, it's 'we're not going to give=
=20
you much =97 maybe a little more (than Southwest) =97 but we're going to be=
=20
cool and sophisticated about it.' " Indeed, as the financially troubled=20
majors cut back flights and services, they are in some respects becoming=20
more like low-fare carriers. "Essentially, what you're buying on an airline=
=20
is the commodity of a seat," says Brancatelli. "And as the big guys offer=20
less, the guys who offer less as a concept don't look so bad."

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