Deal puts execs 'in a very tight box'

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Deal puts execs 'in a very tight box'
By Dan Reed, USA TODAY

The deal that United Airlines cut with the lenders providing its bankruptcy=
=20
financing will require the carrier to cut its costs beyond what its=20
management thought possible a week ago and to do so in a way that won't=20
reduce revenue or cash flow. Buried in the details of United's deal for=20
$1.5 billion in debtor-in-possession (DIP) financing, which allows it to=20
keep operating while reor- ganizing, is a requirement that the airline=20
reduce costs by $300 million more than the cuts the airline's management=20
proposed in a business plan presented to the lenders on Dec. 2. The deal=20
also prohibits United from lowering its profit projections beyond those in=
=20
the Dec. 2 plan and requires it to hit monthly and annual cash-flow=20
targets."The bankers are just protecting their interests," says Darryl=20
Jenkins, head of the Aviation Institute at George Washington University.

"But it puts United's management in a very tight box."They'll have to cut=20
costs more dramatically than anyone agreed to before the filing."But they=20
can't just cut willy-nilly, because if the cuts reduce their revenues and=20
cash flow, they're toast" under the terms of the deal, he says.The=20
complicated, three-tiered loan deal gives United quick access to $800=20
million. Given its current rate of cash burn, estimated by United's lead=20
bankruptcy attorney at $20 million to $22 million a day this month and=20
about $15 million a day in January, "That should hold it at least through=20
February, and maybe a little even deeper into the spring," says Sam=20
Buttrick, airline analyst at UBS Warburg.After that, United likely will=20
need to begin drawing on the remaining $700 million of the financing. But=20
it will get access to the additional funds only if it hits the monthly=20
cash-flow targets and shows progress toward cutting the extra $300 million=
=20
in costs.Robert Miller, a bankruptcy attorney and head of the restructuring=
=20
consulting practice at Financo, a New York investment bank, says the=20
lenders are "attempting to club everybody into the position that the=20
company would have liked them to be in before the bankruptcy."United was=20
forced into Chapter 11 by dwindling revenue and industry-leading costs.

Efforts to win huge savings from labor, suppliers and lessors fell well=20
short of what management initially said was necessary and what the federal=
=20
government said last week was needed for the airline to land a $1.8 billion=
=20
loan guarantee.Now the DIP lenders =97 Bank One, J.P. Morgan, Citibank and=
=20
CIT Group =97 are using the restrictive loan agreements to "say, in effect,=
=20
'Do this, or death,' " Miller says.The lenders are trying to force everyone=
=20
involved to "face reality," says Miller. "They have to, or United will end=
=20
up in the graveyard with so many others."



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