NYTimes.com Article: A Smaller Loss Than Expected at Delta Sends Shares Up 21

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A Smaller Loss Than Expected at Delta Sends Shares Up 21

October 16, 2002
By EDWARD WONG






Delta Air Lines reported a deeper loss yesterday,
reflecting a summer in which passengers - worried about the
shaky economy and inundated with talk of war and terrorism
- failed to return to the skies at the rate executives had
hoped for.

But the loss, excluding unusual items, was better than
analysts had expected, and shares of Delta rose $1.59, or
21 percent, to close at $9.09 yesterday. That was the
largest single-day percentage gain for Delta in two
decades, said Jamie Baker, an analyst at J. P. Morgan.

"The fundamentals may not be showing any improvement, but
at least the deterioration appears to have halted," Mr.
Baker said. "Before anything in life starts getting better,
it has to stop getting worse first."

Delta, the nation's third-largest carrier, was the first
airline to report its third-quarter earnings, and its
numbers portend a depressing week for the industry.

AMR, the parent of American Airlines, the world's largest
carrier, is expected to report its financial results today.
Analysts expect its numbers to be bleak, though likely not
as bad as those of its biggest rival, United Airlines. UAL,
the parent of United, is scheduled to announce its
third-quarter results on Friday, and has said it could file
for bankruptcy by mid-November.

Over all, the industry is expected to lose $7 billion or
more this year as companies struggle to keep flying.

With special charges and gains factored in, Delta lost $326
million, or $2.67 a share, in the third quarter. Excluding
one-time charges and gains, the loss at Delta was $212
million, or $1.75 a share, better than analysts' consensus
estimate of a loss of $1.84 a share, according to a survey
by Thomson First Call.

The one-time unusual items included a $139 million charge
from a reduction in market value of its aging MD-11 and
Boeing 727 aircraft and spare parts.

Delta had revenue of $3.42 billion in the quarter, up
slightly from $3.4 billion a year earlier, when the Sept.
11 attacks devastated air traffic.

In the third quarter of last year, Delta had a loss of $259
million, or $2.13 a share.

Delta's bad quarter was not a surprise, because the company
had predicted a big loss in a Securities and Exchange
Commission filing on Sept. 27.

Executives foretold a gloomy year ahead for airlines during
a conference call yesterday morning.

"There is no doubt that this has been a demanding quarter
for Delta and the entire industry," said M. Michele Burns,
the chief financial officer. "We do not see a near-term
improvement."

Ms. Burns said the fourth-quarter loss would be in line
with analysts' expectations. The consensus estimate by
Thomson First Call is for a loss of $2.20 a share in the
fourth quarter.

To cut costs, Delta said it planned to ground all 15 of its
MD-11 aircraft and defer deliveries of new Boeing planes in
2003 and 2004. The deferrals - five planes next year and 24
in 2004 - will help reduce $1.3 billion from capital
expenditures over that time period, executives said.

The elimination of the MD-11's, a McDonnell Douglas line
that first went into service in 1992 at Delta, will help
simplify the fleet of Delta, a move that many large
carriers are also undertaking. The fewer different types of
planes in a fleet, the more the airline will save in
long-term employee training and maintenance costs.

Frederick W. Reid, the chief operating officer, said Delta
had been relatively successful in predicting the decline in
traffic around this Sept. 11, the anniversary of the
attacks. The airline reduced the number of seats and
flights throughout the quarter, and its systemwide capacity
was down 8.3 percent from the period two years ago.
(Comparisons to 2001 would be less relevant, because of the
unusually drastic cutbacks in flights after the terrorist
attacks.)

In the third quarter, Delta also received $22 million from
the Air Transportation Stabilization Board, which was set
up by the federal government to grant $5 billion in cash
assistance to the industry after the attacks.

In the last month, the chief executive, Leo F. Mullin, has
joined rival airline executives on Capitol Hill to urge the
government to give the industry more financial aid. They
are pushing for the government to pick up security costs,
as well as costs related to terrorism insurance.

Late last month, the aviation subcommittee in the House of
Representatives proposed a bill that included several very
limited provisions to help the carriers, but did not tackle
the issues that the executives were most concerned about.

The current legislation, if passed, would extend the
government's role in helping to provide war-risk insurance
and to accept again applications for a $10 billion loan
guarantee program if the United States goes to war with
Iraq.

But the legislation would not end a security tax of $2.50 a
flight segment that the government has levied on airline
tickets. Executives argue that the tax unnecessarily raises
ticket prices at a time when people are already reluctant
to fly. Mr. Mullin said he expected Delta to forgo $250
million of revenue this year because of this tax.

"I don't think it's done yet, obviously, and we'll continue
working on this," he said of the government's proposed aid
package.

It is questionable whether this bill would even go to a
full vote in the House and the Senate, because many members
of Congress are preoccupied with sifting through what is
generally considered more important legislation dealing
with war against Iraq.

http://www.nytimes.com/2002/10/16/business/16AIR.html?ex=1035780140&ei=1&en=b761bd338c44e4ae



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