Clock ticking at United and no deal with unions

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Clock ticking at United and no deal with unions  =

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Wednesday October 9, 4:02 PM EDT =


(Updates stock hits new low, adds union coalition comment)

By Kathy Fieweger

CHICAGO, Oct 9 (Reuters) - It's autumn, the time when United Airlines sai=
d it might file for bankruptcy, but despite a labor offer of $1 billion a=
 year in cost cuts, management and unions still have not struck a deal th=
at will keep the giant airline out of court.

The clock is ticking toward a Nov. 17 debt payment United must make, and =
much work must be done between now and then to keep the carrier out of co=
urts, said people familiar with the situation. A bigger payment is due in=
 December.

After dropping 90 percent this year, UAL shares hit their lowest level in=
 decades in late Wednesday trading, falling to $1.86. The previous low of=
 $1.90 came in August, when the airline warned of a potential bankruptcy =
filing.

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Last week, the airline said it would suspend payments on some debt/equity=
 hybrid securities. United has cash, $2.7 billion as of June, but much of=
 that is already committed.

The airline lost an aviation history record $2.1 billion in 2001, and ano=
ther $850 million in the first half of 2002. The third-quarter loss, also=
 expected to be large, will be announced next week.

After a brief recovery in the industry in April, the revenue picture for =
U.S. airlines worsened in late summer and early autumn, and cash burn rat=
es at some airlines are once again a problem, executives have said. Highe=
r jet fuel prices, fear of war in Iraq, cheap fares and a continued depre=
ssion in travel demand add to the difficulties.

THE "TO-DO" LIST

Generally, rank-and-file workers get 30 days to approve contract changes =
hammered out by negotiating committees. At some unions, that time period =
may be accelerated.

United, a unit of Elk Grove Village, Illinois-based UAL Corp. (UAL), must=
 also resubmit information to the Air Transportation Stabilization Board =
on its application for federal guarantees on $1.8 billion of a $2.0 billi=
on loan.

The board must then approve the request, an event which in itself is far =
from certain. The controversial agency has denied many applications, part=
icularly from smaller airlines, and approved others only after tough cond=
itions.

In United's case, as was true with US Airways Group (UAWGQ) data and conc=
essions are requested through 2008, sources said. Under particular discus=
sion now is the picture for 2003 and 2004.

United spokesman Joe Hopkins on Wednesday declined to comment on the prog=
ress with a five-union coalition or when any announcement might be made.

SECTOR UNDER FIRE

The airline sector was hard-hit again on Wednesday, after a Wall Street a=
nalyst downgraded the entire group and cut his rating on the No. 1 U.S. c=
arrier, American Airlines parent AMR Corp (AMR). AMR shares sank to yet a=
nother new low of $3.46 after losing 75 percent of their value in the thi=
rd quarter.

United initially asked the government for loan guarantees in late June, b=
ut said the cost cuts outlined were not enough to satisfy the agency, cre=
ated after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks sent the industry into an unpreced=
ented downturn.

United then went back to labor unions in August and said it wanted $1.5 b=
illion a year in cost costs for six years. Unions balked, formed their ow=
n coalition and after several weeks, put a new offer of $1.0 billion for =
five years on the table.

So far, United has not commented on the proposal officially, but sources =
said about a week ago the airline had gone back to the coalition with a r=
equest for "something in between" the $1.0 billion and $1.5 billion.

COALITION FRAGILE

Publicly, the unions will only say they are talking to each other and the=
 company. Behind the scenes, people with long involvement in the airline =
are trying to hold together a fragile coalition between the five unions a=
s it works to put together a package the government will like.

A sticking point -- perhaps the most critical issue now -- is how much ea=
ch union will give up. No one wants to be seen as sacrificing too much co=
mpared with another group.

In addition, a long history of labor strife and fiercely independent unio=
ns make it a tough task.

Late Wednesday, a spokesman for the union coalition said: "We view this a=
s a collaborative oeffort that continues and that there is broad consensu=
s on the overall framework."

The International Association of Machinists, representing the largest per=
centage of the roughly 84,000 workers at United, may be considering offer=
ing its own proposal to management, sources said. A union spokesman decli=
ned to comment other than to say there was nothing new to report.

The Air Line Pilots Association was the only one of the major labor group=
s to offer United any concrete figures back in June, when its agreed to 1=
0-percent wage cuts in return for stock options and raises down the line.=
 =



=A92002 Reuters Limited. =


Roger
EWROPS

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