U.S. seen likely to extend aviation war risk cover

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By Simon Challis and Bill Rigby

NEW YORK, March 12 (Reuters) - The U.S. is "almost certain" to extend
insurance support for its aviation operators for "at least another 60 days,"
giving airlines more time to set up their own cover plans, a leading airline
executive said on Tuesday,

The U.S. government's six-month coverage of airlines' third-party war-risk
liabilities in excess of $50 million -- introduced shortly after Sept. 11 --
is to expire on March 20.

"I hope to hear the announcement in the next couple of days," Chris Duncan,
chief risk officer at Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL), told an insurance meeting
of the International Air Transport Association in London.


The U.S. Transportation Department said the issue is still pending. "We make
these decisions independently, and I don't want to judge what we might
decide," spokesman Bill Mosley told Reuters.

The U.S. and other governments have temporarily insured airlines against
damage on the ground as a result of terror attacks or acts of war since
shortly after the attacks on Sept. 11, when hijacked planes crashed into
landmarks in New York and Washington.

Fearing new instances of aircraft being used as weapons, commercial insurers
all but abandoned the market, or raised premiums and drastically cut the
extent of their coverage, refusing to offer the multibillion-dollar
insurance that airlines need under international regulations.

The U.S. government initially offered airlines coverage for only six months
on the assumption that private insurers, possibly backed by government
reinsurance, would eventually step in to take the risks.

But so far only a handful of insurers, such as American International Group
Inc. (AIG) and Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRKa), have returned to the market,
offering expensive coverage.

Meanwhile, U.S. airlines are trying to set up their own risk retention group
with the help of broker Marsh & McLennan Cos. Inc. (MMC). An extension in
government coverage would give Marsh time to get the scheme up and running.

"Without the federal government's intervention we would not be flying," said
Duncan, a supporter of the Marsh plan, which should work out cheaper for
airlines.

"We are paying for (government coverage) at $7.50 per departure (take off),"
Duncan said, calculating an $8 million annual cost to the airline, and
rejecting accusations that the government cover was a subsidy for the
industry.

Meanwhile, insiders said the British government's insurance support for
airlines -- also expiring on March 20 -- would not be renewed.

"My own personal view is that the (British) government is going to be
extremely loath to go beyond the March date," said Dennis Mahoney, chairman
of Aon Worldwide, a unit of insurance brokerage Aon Corp. (AOC) and of
Troika, a company set up to administer the British government's airline
coverage.

That would throw airline liability insurance back into the hands of
commercial insurers, which would likely mean higher premiums for airlines as
insurers look to make a profit on the business.

"Our capital providers would never forgive us if we could not make a
profit," Peter Butler, spokesman for leading aviation insurance group Global
Aerospace, told the conference. He said insurers would consider dropping the
$1.25 surcharge they are currently getting from airlines for $50 million of
third-party war and terror liability coverage, but the cost would likely be
reflected in higher premiums.

(Additional reporting by John Crawley in Washington, David Bailey in
Chicago)


©2002 Reuters Limited.

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