EGU 2025 Session "NH2.3/GMPV9.6. Technologies for Forecasting Volcanic Hazards"

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From: Eleonora Amato <eleonora.amato@xxxxxxx>


If you want to share any new research regarding volcanic hazards, please
see this session for the #EGU25 General Assembly (Vienna, 27 April - 2 May
2025).

*Session Title: NH2.3/GMPV9.6. Technologies for Forecasting Volcanic
Hazards*

Section: Natural Hazards (NH)

View Session Details:
https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/session/51972
<https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/session/51972__;!!IKRxdwAv5BmarQ!dsSkp1YGfwyRBs1oTJzU1zJwXlxGFzT-vldP177b3PF7Vrr3s-2yW2aoVp7H4QrvK6YqG2Kuamd1NFecbsFc7GyoiQ$>



When a volcano erupts, providing information on hazardous volcanic
phenomena, their effects, and the eruption's duration is crucial. However,
eruptions are complex phenomena governed by interactions of many processes,
which are often nonlinear and stochastic. Numerous uncertainties in the
involved parameters make precise predictions of specific events in time and
space usually unattainable; that is, volcanic eruptions can be
intrinsically unpredictable. Despite these limitations, significant
progress has been made in forecasting volcanic hazards and, in specific
circumstances, in making predictions. Improvements in forecasting are
closely related to the wealth of data from enhanced monitoring techniques,
such as satellite observations, and tremendous advances in computing power.
This has led to the increased use of data-driven approaches, including
artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, to address volcanic hazards.
Machine learning, a type of AI in which computers learn from data, is
gaining importance in volcanology not only for monitoring purposes (i.e.,
in real time) but also for hazard analysis (e.g., modeling tools). Looking
to the future, AI models can be combined with physical constraints to
bridge the gap between data-driven methods and physical modeling, thereby
increasing the interpretability of AI predictions. This offers an
alternative approach to dealing with the strongly nonlinear and
time-dependent character of volcanic phenomena. Several hybrid strategies,
utilizing growing computational resources, are currently being developed to
achieve greater flexibility and full synergy between numerical
physics-based simulations, machine learning, and data-driven approaches.
This multidisciplinary session invites contributions focusing on enhancing
traditional ground-based volcano monitoring systems through technological
innovation in satellite remote sensing and computational methods,
integrating deep-learning, data-driven approaches, and physics-based
simulations, to better understand and forecast volcanic hazards.

Invited Speakers:


   - Nantheera Anantrasirichai (Pui): Associate Professor in Visual
   Computing, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
   - Mike Burton: Professor of Volcanology, University of Manchester,
   Manchester, UK



Conveners: Ciro Del Negro (1), Alessio Alexiadis (2), Eleonora Amato (1),
Federica Torrisi (1)

(1) National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Etna Volcano
Observatory, Catania, Italy

(2) University of Birmingham, United Kingdom



Abstracts are due by *Wednesday, 15 January 2025, 13:00 CET.*



Ciao,

Eleonora

On behalf of the Conveners


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