3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3 From: Jacopo Selva <jacopo.selva@xxxxxxxx> Dear Colleagues, the EGU 2025 call-for-abstract is open. In particular, the deadline for support applications is close (2 December 2024). This is to invite you to submit your work to the following EGU 2025 session: NH10.5 Toward a cross-discipline vision on quantification and communication of uncertainty in forecasting natural hazards: is it possible? Co-organized by GM3/GMPV9/HS13/NP5 Convener: Jacopo Selva, Alberto Viglione, Samantha Engwell, Raffaella Russo, Enrico Baglione Abstract submission deadlines: 02 December 2024, 13:00 CET (support applications) 15 January 2025, 13:00 CET https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/session/52538 <https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/session/52538__;!!IKRxdwAv5BmarQ!Zfm2iaW-njHAR-MOGkSJf6rJPR1C0aFSOs4k8GIKWR1c-tNXSKFaq1bmnxpx1Hnpz7WSZbrpn2PWD7AeSZwtEnAOGg$> Session description All the forecasts are connected to some level of uncertainty. When the forecast is applied to natural hazards, existing uncertainty may become critical, as significant changes in the forecasts may play a major role in the definition of risk reduction actions. While this is pervasive across all natural hazards, significantly different approaches have been defined in the different disciplines of Earth Sciences, both in the definition of methods to quantify uncertainty, and in the selection of specific communication strategies for decision-makers or for the general public. Indeed, the need of accounting for and communicate uncertainty, coupled with the capacity of developing adequate models to this aim, strongly influenced how and at which level uncertainty has been included and communicated in forecasting models. This session is dedicated to foster cross-discipline exchange of existing experiences as well as ongoing efforts in the quantification, communication, and use of uncertainty in decision-making along the different disciplines of Earth Sciences. On behalf of the Conveners, Jacopo Selva 3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3 ------------------------------
