CoV11 > Session S3.11 “The path from volcanic hazard to risk analysis”

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From: Costanza Bonadonna <Costanza.Bonadonna@xxxxxxxx>


Dear colleagues,

We are pleased to invite you to submit an abstract to the session S3.11
â??The path from volcanic hazard to risk analysisâ?? for the COV11 Conference
in Heraklion, Crete, Greece 23-27 May 2020.

*Conveners: Costanza Bonadonna â?? University of Geneva (Switzerland); Alvaro
Amigo â?? SERNAGEOMIN (Chile); Eliza Calder â?? University of Edinburgh (UK);
Melanie Duncan â?? British Geological Survey (UK);  Chris Gregg â?? East
Tennessee State University (USA); Gari Mayberry â?? USGS and USAID/OFDA
(USA); Julie Morin â?? University Clermont Auvergne (France)*



*Invited speakers: Matthieu Kervyn (Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium);
Guðrún Jóhannesdóttir (Civil Protection, Iceland)*


Description: Volcanic risk analysis is very complex given the interaction
of multiple hazards, vulnerability dimensions and exposure acting
dynamically over space and time with the potential of high impact on
society. Additionally, the uncertainties associated both with the hazards
and the effects of cascading hazards and impacts require accurate
description. This theory is fine, but the reality at many active volcanoes
is very different. The data needed to fully analyse risk (or even exposed
elements) can be insufficiently or inaccurately catalogued or even totally
lacking, and risk is dynamic, constantly shifting during the course of
unrest, eruption and post-eruption time period. In addition, no
comprehensive methods for vulnerability and risk assessment are widely
accepted and, while some models identify individual interactions between
volcanic hazard and physical vulnerability, the limited analyses on
multiple dimensions of vulnerability obscures our understanding of the real
volcanic risk. The UN Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
2015-2030 recognizes that a better understanding of risk in all its
dimensions is needed for effective risk reduction (e.g. SFDRR Priority 1).
The need for a new generation of approaches to volcanic risk analysis is
clear.



We welcome contributions presenting strategies for the assessment of
exposure, vulnerability and risk; discussing ways of identifying and
characterizing elements at risk; combining hazard, exposure and
vulnerability; presenting vulnerability and risk assessment in a
multi-hazard setting; describing how to benefit from local knowledge
through participatory risk assessment; and showing how dynamic
vulnerability and risk assessments should be carried out to implement
useful mitigation measures.



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