EGU 2013 Session: Advances in Volcano Risk Monitoring
From: Henry Odbert <h.odbert@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
****************************************************************************************
Dear colleagues,
We invite and encourage
contributions to session GMPV34/NH2.3, focussing on methods in risk
analysis at volcanoes, to be held at next year's EGU General Assembly in Vienna, Austria, 7 - 12 April 2013. Session details as follows:
[Session GMPV34/NH2.3] Advances in Volcano Risk Monitoring
Convener: Henry Odbert
Co-Conveners: R. S. J. Sparks, Susanna Jenkins, Willy Aspinall
Link: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2013/session/12160
Co-Conveners: R. S. J. Sparks, Susanna Jenkins, Willy Aspinall
Link: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2013/session/12160
Significant advances have been made in observing and understanding volcanic
hazards. The risks they pose may be estimated via Quantitative Risk Analyses (QRAs)
which attempt to incorporate the likelihood of hazards and their impact footprint,
according to expectations of how hazards would evolve and to the
exposure and vulnerability of people and property at risk. In regions around
volcanoes that are erupting or have potential to erupt, QRAs can provide a
useful tool for guiding decision makers on matters relating to risk mitigation.
The usefulness of any risk model depends not only on how robust it is in
incorporating realistic distributions for potential hazardous events, but also
on how accurately the uncertainty of those distributions can be captured.
Often the timely availability of a risk analysis and how it is adapted and updated
through time are critical for the analysis to have real world impact in a developing crisis.
Combining these requirements is a major challenge in real-time volcano risk monitoring.
We invite abstracts on topics relating to the development of QRAs for volcanoes
and how output from numerical modelling, statistical analyses, expert
judgement and monitoring data can be incorporated in models which aim to deliver
risk analysis as an additional tool before and during volcanic eruptions.
hazards. The risks they pose may be estimated via Quantitative Risk Analyses (QRAs)
which attempt to incorporate the likelihood of hazards and their impact footprint,
according to expectations of how hazards would evolve and to the
exposure and vulnerability of people and property at risk. In regions around
volcanoes that are erupting or have potential to erupt, QRAs can provide a
useful tool for guiding decision makers on matters relating to risk mitigation.
The usefulness of any risk model depends not only on how robust it is in
incorporating realistic distributions for potential hazardous events, but also
on how accurately the uncertainty of those distributions can be captured.
Often the timely availability of a risk analysis and how it is adapted and updated
through time are critical for the analysis to have real world impact in a developing crisis.
Combining these requirements is a major challenge in real-time volcano risk monitoring.
We invite abstracts on topics relating to the development of QRAs for volcanoes
and how output from numerical modelling, statistical analyses, expert
judgement and monitoring data can be incorporated in models which aim to deliver
risk analysis as an additional tool before and during volcanic eruptions.
The
deadline for abstract submission is 9 January 2013. There are
opportunities for financial support available from EGU for abstracts
submitted early (by 30 Nov, see http://www.egu2013.eu/support_and_distinction/financial_support.html for details and eligibility).
We look forward to seeing you in Vienna,
Henry Odbert, Steve Sparks, Susanna Jenkins & Willy Aspinall.
==============================================================
Volcano Listserv is a collaborative venture among Arizona State University (ASU), Portland State University (PSU), the Global Volcanism Program (GVP) of the Smithsonian Institution's National Museum of Natural History, and the International Association for Volcanology and Chemistry of the Earth's Interior (IAVCEI).
ASU - http://www.asu.edu/ PSU - http://pdx.edu/ GVP - http://www.volcano.si.edu/ IAVCEI - http://www.iavcei.org/
To unsubscribe from the volcano list, send the message: signoff volcano to: listserv@xxxxxxx, or write to: volcano-request@xxxxxxx.
To contribute to the volcano list, send your message to: volcano@xxxxxxx. Please do not send attachments.
==============================================================
