Raoul Island update and overview

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Raoul Island update and overview
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From: Brad Scott <B.Scott@xxxxxxxxxx>


GNS Science
Raoul Island update and overview
23 March 2006  - RAO-06/02

Raoul Island is an active volcano with a long eruptive history (15 eruptions 
in the last 3600 yrs, with three in historic period, 1814, 1870 and 1964). All 
of these eruptions except 1964 have been magmatic in nature and activity has 
occurred in both the Raoul and Denham Bay calderas.  

On the evening of Sunday March 12 earthquakes began near Raoul Island. More 
than 200 earthquakes were recorded in the first 24 hours, with many of the 
larger events felt on the island. Earthquakes continued throughout the week, 
but the numbers of earthquakes gradually reduced. Without any warning an 
eruption began from Green Lake at 8.21 am on Friday 17 March (no water level 
or temperature changes were observed, even only 24 hours before the eruption). 
Based on data from the seismograph on the island, the eruption appears to have 
continued for up to 30 minutes, although the most intense part of the eruption 
lasted for only 5 to 10 minutes. Following the eruption, the of rate 
earthquake activity doubled, but has since reduced to 10-20 per day. Details 
of recent observations are reviewed below. The Volcanic Alert level remains at 
Level 2 (on a scale of 5).

Volcano monitoring of the crater lakes within Raoul Caldera started after the 
1964 eruption, as these showed a response before that event. The focus of 
monitoring and recent investigations has shown there to be a long-lived 
hydrothermal system in existence. There are low temperature (boiling point) 
fumaroles in the vicinity of Green Lake, and minor seepages of hydrothermal 
brine from the system (boiling hot springs) along Oneraki Beach, outside of 
the caldera. The gases have strong hydrothermal signatures (as opposed to 
proximal magmatic). As such, they do not suggest single-phase vapour transport 
directly from a magmatic source to the surface, but rather are indicative of 
the presence of boiling hydrothermal brine at depth. We have no quantitative 
data from Denham Bay (offshore Denham Caldera), but know of boiling point 
(100° C) steaming ground on the steep crater walls, and gas and water seeps in 
the sea. Historical observations of volcanic eruptions from this caldera (and 
Raoul Caldera) point to the likely existence of a sizable active system 
residing there.

Post eruption we have observations from still and video footage taken on the 
afternoon of 17 March and during an aerial inspection on 21 March. 

The 17 March images show many new craters and reactivation of existing 1964 
craters. The main steam columns were derived from Crater I, Marker Bay and 
Crater XI (refer to the accompanying diagram). There are many new craters and 
fumarolic activity near the mouth of crater gully and the stream that drains 
from Crater V. The area NW of Bubbling Bay where there was a fumarole is now a 
crater about 20-30m across. In the main body of the lake there were two areas 
of strong upwelling, one near the end of the peninsula south of crater XII 
which has been erupted away. There are now jagged rocks showing in the lake, 
where it was formerly 2-4m deep. There is also a new feature about 2-300m 
north of green lake Crater XII, forming a moat near the edge of the crater 
floor, and there is a vigorous vent active in it. Many of the steep crater 
margins have collapsed post eruption (fresh landslides). The eruptions have 
blown over mature trees out to about 200m and deposited dark grey hydrothermal 
mud and ballistic blocks (i.e. large blocks). The water level of Green Lake 
did not appear to have risen at the time of the 17 March observations.
 
On 21 March an aerial inspection was made from a RNZAF Orion, allowing 
excellent views of both Raoul and Denham Bay calderas. Steam/fume discharge 
from the vents had declined significantly owing to a dramatic (6-8 metre) rise 
in Green Lake water level, and consequent drowning of most of the active 
vents.  The lake level does not appear to have reached overflow level. 
Landsliding and collapse has also blocked Crater I. Vigorous upwelling and gas 
discharge is still obvious through Green Lake, which appears very warm. There 
is no evidence of further eruptions since 17 March. There was no evidence that 
any activity has occurred from the 1964 craters north west of crater gully 
(i.e. craters IV, III, VI, through to X), but many new craters have formed at 
the mouth of this gully where hot bare ground has been present. There is a 
possible suggestion of a north easterly trend through the vents from Crater 
Gully to NE of Crater XII.  In 1964 the craters aligned along 3 parallel 
fractures that tended north west. In Denham Bay we were able to observe a weak 
plume of discoloured water approximately coincident with the vent area. There 
is evidence of hydrothermal seepage along most of the beach (milky 
discoloration indicating mixing of hydrothermal brine and seawater). There 
were also discharges in the rocky bay half way between Hutchison Bluff and the 
NW end of Denham beach (these have not been reported before to our knowledge). 
If these are confirmed as hydrothermal seepages, they represent a significant 
rise in the surface of the hydrothermal fluids in the system, as observed in 
the caldera.

Earthquake activity began near Raoul Island on the evening of Sunday 12 March 
and still continues. More than 200 earthquakes were recorded in the first 24 
hours, with many of the larger events felt on the island. Earthquakes 
continued throughout the week, but at a gradually reducing frequency. Most of 
the earthquakes were tectonic-style rock shearing events with a few (about 20 
in all) showing a hybrid characteristic in that they had low frequencies 
present in their codas.  No purely low-frequency earthquakes or volcanic 
tremor, indicative of the movement of magmatic or hydrothermal fluids, was 
observed. By the Friday morning eruption (17 March) the rate of earthquake 
activity had declined to fewer than 50 per day.

Strong sequences of earthquakes at Raoul Island are not common, but have 
occurred on several occasions in the past. In November 1964 a strong sequence 
of earthquakes, the largest of magnitude 5.9, occurred over a 10 day period 
prior to the eruption at Green Lake. This sequence was also accompanied by 
very strong volcanic tremor that indicated that molten magma was rising 
beneath Raoul Island, a 6 m rise in the level of Green Lake, ground cracking, 
and by the appearance of new hot springs. In comparison, the largest 
earthquakes prior to Friday?s eruption had a magnitude of about 3.5 and daily 
observations about Green Lake showed no changes of any kind.

In March 1993, a sequence of several hundred earthquakes were recorded over a 
period of two weeks, with the largest having a magnitude of 4.3. No 
indications of any magma movement were observed, but following the earthquakes 
there was a 1.2 m rise in Green Lake. There was also an earthquake sequence 
near Raoul Island in 1989, again with no eruption. In addition, over the past 
15 years there have been at least 5 occasions when low-frequency volcanic 
earthquakes or volcanic tremor have occurred without any associated eruption.

In summary the activity continues at Raoul, although there have not been any 
further eruptions since the explosions of 17 March. There has been a 
significant response from the volcano hydrothermal system, both within Raoul 
Caldera and Denham Bay. The more western of the 1964 craters have not been 
active. Further eruptions, as the hydrothermal system adjusts to the increased 
fluid pressure, remain possible and access to the active crater area should be 
restricted to the margins of the areas affected to date. The Green Lake crater 
should not be entered at this time.

Refer to the Geonet web site (http://data.geonet.org.nz/geonews/index.html) 
for the diagram referred to here, and for some other photographs.

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