On 01/10/14 05:54, Jeff Janes wrote:
Many moons ago, I passed several 300 level statistics papers. I looked at this problem and found it was too hard to even properly characterise the problem (looks 'simple' - if you don't look too closely), and ended up feeling it was definitely 'way above my pay grade'! :-) It might be possible to tackle it more pragmatically, instead of trying to be all analytic and rigorously list all the possible influences, have a look at queries of this nature that are taking far too long. Then get a feel for combinations of issues involved and how they contribute. If you have enough data, you might be able to use something like Principle Component Analysis (I was fortunate to meet a scientist who had got heavily into this area of statistics). Such an approach might yield valuable insights, even if the problem is not fully characterised, let alone 'solved'. Cheers, Gavin |