Ice Sheet Loss at Both Poles Increasing, Major Study Finds

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Nov. 29, 2012

Steve Cole 
Headquarters, Washington      
202-358-0918 
stephen.e.cole@xxxxxxxx 

Alan Buis 
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif. 
818-354-0474 
alan.buis@xxxxxxxxxxxx 

Esther Harward 
University of Leeds, United Kingdom 
44 113 343 4196 
e.harward@xxxxxxxxxxx 


RELEASE: 12-409

ICE SHEET LOSS AT BOTH POLES INCREASING, MAJOR STUDY FINDS

WASHINGTON -- An international team of experts supported by NASA and 
the European Space Agency (ESA) has combined data from multiple 
satellites and aircraft to produce the most comprehensive and 
accurate assessment to date of ice sheet losses in Greenland and 
Antarctica and their contributions to sea level rise. 

In a landmark study published Thursday in the journal Science, 47 
researchers from 26 laboratories report the combined rate of melting 
for the ice sheets covering Greenland and Antarctica has increased 
during the last 20 years. Together, these ice sheets are losing more 
than three times as much ice each year (equivalent to sea level rise 
of 0.04 inches or 0.95 millimeters) as they were in the 1990s 
(equivalent to 0.01 inches or 0.27 millimeters). About two-thirds of 
the loss is coming from Greenland, with the rest from Antarctica. 

This rate of ice sheet losses falls within the range reported in 2007 
by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The spread 
of estimates in the 2007 IPCC report was so broad, however, it was 
not clear whether Antarctica was growing or shrinking. The new 
estimates, which are more than twice as accurate because of the 
inclusion of more satellite data, confirm both Antarctica and 
Greenland are losing ice. Combined, melting of these ice sheets 
contributed 0.44 inches (11.1 millimeters) to global sea levels since 
1992. This accounts for one-fifth of all sea level rise over the 
20-year survey period. The remainder is caused by the thermal 
expansion of the warming ocean, melting of mountain glaciers and 
small Arctic ice caps, and groundwater mining. 

The study was produced by an international collaboration -- the Ice 
Sheet Mass Balance Inter-comparison Exercise (IMBIE) -- that combined 
observations from 10 satellite missions to develop the first 
consistent measurement of polar ice sheet changes. The researchers 
reconciled differences among dozens of earlier ice sheet studies by 
carefully matching observation periods and survey areas. They also 
combined measurements collected by different types of satellite 
sensors, such as ESA's radar missions, NASA's Ice, Cloud and land 
Elevation Satellite (ICESat) and the NASA/German Aerospace Center's 
Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE). 

"What is unique about this effort is that it brought together the key 
scientists and all of the different methods to estimate ice loss," 
said Tom Wagner, NASA's cryosphere program manager in Washington. 
"It's a major challenge they undertook, involving cutting-edge, 
difficult research to produce the most rigorous and detailed 
estimates of ice loss from Greenland and Antarctica to date. The 
results of this study will be invaluable in informing the IPCC as it 
completes the writing of its Fifth Assessment Report over the next 
year." 

Professor Andrew Shepherd of the University of Leeds in the United 
Kingdom coordinated the study, along with research scientist Erik 
Ivins of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif. 
Shepherd said the venture's success is because of the cooperation of 
the international scientific community and the precision of various 
satellite sensors from multiple space agencies. 

"Without these efforts, we would not be in a position to tell people 
with confidence how Earth's ice sheets have changed, and to end the 
uncertainty that has existed for many years," Shepherd said. 

The study found variations in the pace of ice sheet change in 
Antarctica and Greenland. 

"Both ice sheets appear to be losing more ice now than 20 years ago, 
but the pace of ice loss from Greenland is extraordinary, with nearly 
a five-fold increase since the mid-1990s," Ivins said. "In contrast, 
the overall loss of ice in Antarctica has remained fairly constant 
with the data suggesting a 50-percent increase in Antarctic ice loss 
during the last decade." 

For more on ICESat, visit: 

http://icesat.gsfc.nasa.gov 

For more on GRACE, visit: 

http://www.csr.utexas.edu/grace 

	
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