MER-A Weather Forecast

["Buckingham-1, Bruce" <Bruce.Buckingham-1@nasa.gov>]

Title:

Eastern Range Operations Forecast Op Number:  F7326 Issued:  7 Jun 03 (0700 EDT) Valid:  8 Jun 03 (2:06 p.m. / 2:44 p.m.) Note:  Forecasts available on the 45th Weather Squadron

Vehicle/Payload:

Delta II / MER-A

Location:

Pad 17-A

Launch Weather Officer:

Joel Tumbiolo

Synoptic Discussion:

No changes.   Subtropical ridge will be the dominant large scale feature in control, with a weak frontal boundary located over northern FL.  This boundary will keep the low level high pressure ridge axis south of the area through mid next week.  This will result in the continuation of south-southwesterly flow throughout the atmosphere.  Moisture levels will remain high, and will provide the fuel for daily afternoon thunderstorms.  Daytime heating, in addition to local sea and lake breezes will be the triggers for thunderstorm development.  Main concerns during will be cumulus clouds, developing thunderstorms, and associated anvil clouds within in the vicinity of the launch pad/flight path.

Clouds

Coverage

Bases (feet)

Tops (feet)

BKN030

5/8

3,000

10,000

BKN100

5/8

10,000

18,000

BKN250

6/8

25,000

28,000

Visibility:

7 miles

Wind:

170 degrees / 10 - 15 KTS

Pressure:

30.00 IN HG

Temperature:

82 F - 84 F

RH:

70%

Weather:

Showers and thunderstorms in the vicinity

Solar Activity:

N/A

Overall probability of violating weather constraints:

60%

Primary concern(s):

Cumulus Cloud Rule, Lightning Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule

Overall probability of violating weather constraints for 24 hour delay:

60%

Primary concern(s):

Cumulus Cloud Rule, Lightning Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule

Overall probability of violating weather constraints for 48 hour delay:

60%

Primary concern(s):

Cumulus Cloud Rule, Lightning Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule

Sunrise:

8 June 03 / 0625 EDT 9 June 03 / 0625 EDT 10 June 03 / 0625 EDT

Moonrise/ (% illum):

8 June 03 / 1411 EDT / % 9 June 03 / 1514 EDT / % 10 June 03 / 1619 EDT / %

Sunset:

8 June 03 / 2018 EDT 9 June 03 / 2019 EDT 10 June 03 / 2019 EDT

Moonset:

9 June 03 / 0247 EDT 10 June 03 / 0321 EDT 11 June 03 / 0358 EDT

Next forecast will be issued:

8 June 03

 

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