Re: Further update on COVID-19 (Coronavirus) and IETF 107 Vancouver

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Sent from my mobile device

> On Feb 25, 2020, at 5:20 PM, Michael Richardson <mcr+ietf@xxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> 
> 
> Kathleen Moriarty <kathleen.moriarty.ietf@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>> A neighbor/scientist that collaborates with the CDC sent me this with
>> additional information.  This includes statistics on the impact if you have
>> certain underlying conditions (diabetes, etc.),  or the persons age and
>> gender.
> 
> A friend who works in infectious diseases in Seattle shared this article:
>  https://edhub.ama-assn.org/jn-learning/audio-player/18234512
> 
> now two weeks old, mind you.
>   Although coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) dominates the news in early
>   2020, it affects few people in the US. In contrast, at the same time the
>   US is experiencing a severe influenza epidemic, which has caused an
>   estimated 250 000 hospitalizations and 14 000 deaths. Timothy Uyeki, MD,
>   lead for the CDC’s 2019 novel coronavirus response team and Chief Medical
>   Officer of CDC’s influenza division, discusses influenza in the US, how it
>   compares to coronavirus, and what both patients and clinicians should know
>   about this year’s flu season.

Recent articles from scientific sources don’t have this focus anymore.  Essentially, the spread is pretty much inevitable at this point.  Death rates of the flu are .1% and Coronavirus are around/above 2%.  The article I shared had specific percentages for those with underlying conditions like diabetes being at 14% and this hitting those above 80 much harder.

We’ll see how it evolves in the coming weeks.  People canceling now likely doesn’t help with refunds, but if restrictions are put in place, that may change.  Or maybe Italy and other nations will contain it.  Time will tell and we have a little.

That said, I hope anyone with an underlying condition gets a refund.

Best regards,
Kathleen 

> 
> --
> Michael Richardson <mcr+IETF@xxxxxxxxxxxx>, Sandelman Software Works
> -= IPv6 IoT consulting =-
> 
> 
> 





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