Re: draft-moonesamy-recall-rev-01: Number of Signatures Required

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<inline tp>

----- Original Message -----
From: "Mark Nottingham" <mnot@xxxxxxxx>
Sent: Monday, April 22, 2019 3:19 AM

Hi SM,

Without going into the other aspects of this draft (I'm watching with
interest), Section 2.3 caught my eye:

>    [RFC7437] requires at least 20 signatories for a recall petition
with
>    no more than two of the signatories having the same primary
>    affiliation.  That sets a very high barrier for a recall petition
>    even though the recall petition requires a, justification, an
>    investigation by a Recall Committee and a 3/4 majority of the
members
>    of the Recall Committee who vote on the recall decision.  This
>    document also proposes to decrease the number of signatures
required
>    to avoid making it impractical to invoke the first step of the
recall
>    procedures.

Sorry if I missed a previous discussion, but this strikes me as an
interesting change to couple to a proposed increase in the number of
people eligible to sign a recall petition.

Given that the number of people who attend IETF meetings -- both
physically and remotely -- varies quite a bit, and since we now can
track the size of both populations, I'd expect this number to be
expressed as a percentage of the total eligible population (however the
above discussion goes).

Looking at the attendance of the last five IETFs*, it appears that about
777 people are nomcom eligible, so it would currently take a bit more
than 2.5% of that community to initiate a recall.

If remote participation is also counted, about 1083 would currently be
qualified; your proposed 10 signatories is 0.92% of that community.

What's the right number**? I'm not sure, but I'll make a few
observations.

It seems to me that the number of signatories required helps to ensure
that the recall represents a significant portion of the community, so as
not to waste the noncom's time. I also see it as a way to manage
secondary effects; e.g., so that people aren't dissuaded from putting
their hands up for nomcom, lest they be committing to a series of
frivolous recall efforts.

More importantly, perhaps, I think we also need to ask ourselves whether
we want our leadership concerned about the possibility of a recall --
even if a failed one -- from a small, determined set of people. I
imagine there are upsides and downsides to that.

To me, allowing 1% of the community to initiate such an action seems
like a really low bar for disruption, not at all a "very high barrier".
Looking elsewhere:
  * Various Swiss cantons seem to run between 2% and 13% of the
electorate <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recall_election#Switzerland>
  *  In the UK, it takes 10%
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recall_of_MPs_Act_2015>

<tp>

Mark

When one of our key protocols was up for revision, there was a binary
choice, do this or do that; 23 people expressed an opinion, 12 one way,
11 the other and the chairs declared consensus for the 12 and that is
baked into the protocol.  Someone who would know pointed out that there
were over 1000 people subscribed to the mailing list so that aspect of
the protocol had been decided by about 1% of the population so I see 1%
in favour as being the way the IETF works; and I suspect that it will
take more get up and go for people to express support for a recall
petition than it will to support a choice in a protocol so 1% is quite a
high bar to me.

Tom Petch

Cheers,


* This is estimated by scraping the attendance tables for the last five
IETFs, removing affiliation (since it might change) but keeping country
(less likely to change, but still possible), case-normalising and doing
some command line sorting and filtering. No doubt mistakes were made (if
anything, these numbers are probably low, thanks to false negatives),
and I'm sure this isn't how the actual eligibility is determined. But
it's good enough for estimating, I think.

** I really do think it should be a percentage.

--
Mark Nottingham   https://www.mnot.net/





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