On Fri, Jun 25, 2021 at 6:04 PM Michael StJohns <mstjohns@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Hi - No challenges, but an observation or two.
There are only 6 companies with more than two volunteers:
Cisco - 7 (6.3% of the pool, 47% chance of having at least one member,
12.6% of having 2).
Juniper - 9 (8% of the pool, 57% chance of having at least one member,
18.9% of having 2)
Ericsson - 4 (3.6%, 30.5%, 4.7%)
ZTE - 3 (2.7%, 23.8%, 2.8%)
Akamai - 3 (2.7%, 23.8%, 2.8%)
Huawei/Futurewei - 41 (36.6, 99%, 93%)
Huawei/Futurewei counted together, that is correct.
Behcet
A SWAG against that numbers suggests a Nomcom with 2 members from
Huawai/Futurewei, 1-2 members from Cisco and Juniper (not each, total)
and a 60% chance of having at least 1 member from one of Ericsson,
Akamai or ZTE.
2 person companies represent (each) 1.8% of the pool, have a 16.5%
chance of having at least one member, and have a 1.3% chance of having
two.
The numbers are not exact because of the organizational limit factor -
e.g. individuals and 2 party companies (totalling 112-67 or 45) are
roughly competing for the slots (4-6 slots at a guess) not won by these
5, which gives those folk individually a 8.3% to 11.9% chance of
selection depending on the number of slots available.
For an illustration of what affect the organizational limits have on the
final composition of the Nomcom, without the limits, or with higher
ones, Huawei/Futurewei would have a 77% chance of 3 or more members, a
53% chance of 4 or more members and a 28.5% chance of 5 or more. That
suggests that due to the limits, in this selection process at least 2 or
more volunteers will be selected randomly and discarded due to there
already being 2 selectees from that group.
Yours statistically, Mike
On 6/25/2021 4:46 PM, NomCom Chair 2021 wrote:
> This is a preliminary list of 112 qualified volunteers for NomCom 2021-2022.
>
> All have been qualified by using the Datatracker as qualified for the position of voting
> member of NomCom per RFC 8989.
>
> We now enter the challenge period, which lasts until the following deadline:
>
> Monday, July 5, 2021 at 23:59 UTC (Deadline for raising issues on the qualified volunteers list)
>
> If anyone thinks that a name on the numbered list below is NOT qualified for some
> reason, please send me email before this deadline at:
>
> nomcom-chair-2021 at ietf dot org
>
> The next steps are listed on https://datatracker.ietf.org/nomcom/2021/ (e.g., I will announce
> random seed selections for the RFC 3797 process shortly).
>
> The preliminary qualified volunteers are:
>
> Num Last Name First Name Affiliation
> ===================================================================
> 1 Aelmans Melchior Juniper Networks
> 2 Bagdonas Ignas Equinix
> 3 Banks Sarah Corelight, Inc.
> 4 Barnes Mary Independent
> 5 Beeram Vishnu Juniper Networks
> 6 Benamar Nabil Moulay Ismail University of Meknes, Morocco
> 7 Bertola Vittorio Open-Xchange
> 8 Bishop Mike Akamai Technologies
> 9 Bonica Ron Juniper Networks
> 10 Box Chris BT
> 11 Burdet LucAndré Cisco
> 12 Bush Randy IIJ Research Lab & Arrcus Inc
> 13 Busi Italo Huawei
> 14 Chen Mach Huawei
> 15 Chen Huaimo Futurewei
> 16 Cheng Weiqiang China Mobile
> 17 Ciavaglia Laurent Rakuten
> 18 Clemm Alexander Futurewei
> 19 Dhody Dhruv Huawei
> 20 Dong Jie Huawei Technologies
> 21 Drake John Juniper Networks
> 22 Eastlake Donald Futurewei Technologies, Inc
> 23 Eckel Charles Cisco Systems
> 24 Eckert Toerless Futurewei USA
> 25 Enghardt Theresa Netflix
> 26 Fan Dawei Huawei
> 27 Farrell Stephen Trinity College Dublin
> 28 Fioccola Giuseppe Huawei Technologies
> 29 Fomin Sergey Nokia
> 30 Fossati Thomas Arm
> 31 Geng Xuesong Huawei
> 32 Gondwana Bron Fastmail Pty Ltd
> 33 Gu Yunan Huawei
> 34 Gundavelli Sri Cisco
> 35 Haas Jeffrey Juniper Networks
> 36 Haddad Wassim Ericsson
> 37 Hallam-Baker Phillip Threshold Secrets LLC
> 38 Harrison Tom APNIC
> 39 Hegde Shraddha Juniper Networks
> 40 Heitz Jakob Cisco Systems, Inc.
> 41 Hopps Christian LabN Consulting
> 42 Housley Russ Vigil Security, LLC
> 43 Huitema Christian Private Octopus Inc.
> 44 Iannone Luigi Huawei
> 45 Jimenez Jaime Ericsson
> 46 Lear Eliot Cisco Systems
> 47 Leiba Barry Futurewei Technologies
> 48 Lemon Ted Apple
> 49 Li Cheng Huawei
> 50 Li Richard Futurewei Technologies, Inc.
> 51 Li Yizhou Huawei
> 52 Lin Yi Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.
> 53 Liu Bing Huawei Technologies Co.,Ltd.
> 54 Lou Zhe Huawei Technologies Duesseldorf GmbH
> 55 Maisonneuve Julien Nokia
> 56 Makhijani Kiran Futurewei
> 57 Mankin Allison Salesforce
> 58 Masinter Larry Interlisp.org
> 59 Mattsson John Ericsson
> 60 McManus Patrick Fastly
> 61 Michaelson George APNIC
> 62 Min Xiao ZTE Corporation
> 63 Mishra Sanjay Verizon
> 64 Mizrahi Tal Huawei
> 65 Moore Keith Network Heretics
> 66 Nottingham Mark Fastly
> 67 Paine Kirsty UK National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC)
> 68 Pan Wei Huawei
> 69 Peng Shuping Huawei Technologies Co.,Ltd.
> 70 Petit-Huguenin Marc Impedance Mismatch LLC
> 71 Pillay-Esnault Padma Independent, Amazon
> 72 Qu Yingzhen Futurewei Technologies Inc.
> 73 Reid Jim rtfm llp
> 74 Rescorla Eric Mozilla
> 75 Resnick Pete Episteme Technology Consulting LLC
> 76 Richardson Michael Sandelman Software Works
> 77 Romano Simon University of Napoli Federico II
> 78 Rose Kyle Akamai Technologies, Inc.
> 79 Saad Tarek Juniper Networks
> 80 Salz Rich Akamai
> 81 Sangli Srihari Juniper Networks
> 82 Schwartz Benjamin Google LLC
> 83 Song Haoyu Futurewei
> 84 StJohns Michael NthPermutation Security
> 85 Thubert Pascal Cisco Systems
> 86 Trøan Ole cisco
> 87 Tschofenig Hannes Arm
> 88 Velvindron Loganaden cyberstorm.mu
> 89 Volpato Paolo Huawei Technologies
> 90 Wang Haibo Huawei
> 91 Wang Yali Huawei
> 92 Wei Yuehua ZTE Corporation
> 93 Weiler Samuel W3C/MIT
> 94 Westerlund Magnus Ericsson
> 95 Winters Timothy QA Cafe
> 96 Woolf Suzanne Public Interest Registry (.ORG)
> 97 Wu Bo Huawei Technologies Co.,Ltd.
> 98 Xiao XiPeng Huawei Technologies
> 99 Xie Jingrong Huawei Technologies
> 100 Xingjian He huawei
> 101 Yan Gang Huawei
> 102 Yang Fan Huawei Technologies Co.,Ltd.
> 103 Yu Yolanda Huawei
> 104 Zhang Lixia UCLA
> 105 Zhang Zheng ZTE
> 106 Zhang Zhaohui Juniper
> 107 Zhao Shuai Tencent
> 108 Zheng Guangying Huawei
> 109 Zheng Haomian Huawei Technologies
> 110 Zhou Tianran Huawei
> 111 Zhuang Shunwan Huawei
> 112 江元龙 Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.
>