Re: F18 - huge drop in user numbers

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On Mon, Jan 28, 2013 at 8:26 AM, Jiri Eischmann <eischmann@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> Hi,
> frankly I'm not sure which mailing list I should write this to, but I
> guess the marking one is the best fit.
>
> I was really surprised (in the negative way) by the Fedora stats [1].
> Repository connections in the first week dropped by 52 percent compared
> to F17 and F17 was already low compared to releases before. F18 has
> pretty bad reception, but such a huge drop is hard to believe.
> The number of direct downloads is down by 7 percent.
>
> Are these numbers still comparable or the way they're calculated has
> changed? If not, it's a pretty bad trend.

So a few things -

This script still runs in Paul's fedorapeople space pending the
arrival of the glorious "mustard" application (note: name not actually
determined, but I'm pretty sold on that name) which will replace
/Statistics.  It occasionally misbehaves, and Paul sent a note saying
that there was a bit of a hiccup, but we should be back to normal
number reporting next week, but this is the number he had for last
week (I'm unclear about if the current number in there is correct,
totally off, or what.)

The statistics mail normally gets mailed out on Monday nights late, so
perhaps tomorrow's data will look more normal (or more alarming).

WRT direct downloads: I've noticed that even-numbered releases tend to
be on the downward trend against the previous release in the first few
weeks, whereas odd-numbered releases usually are more than 100% of
previous release.

Paul: can you shed any additional light?



>
> The difference in drops between direct downloads and repository
> connections is also interesting. It seems like a lot of users downloaded
> F18, but never installed it, and connected to repositories which pretty
> much correlates with my observation at linux portals, forums, mailing
> lists. I've seen so many comments of users who said they didn't have
> balls to install F18 on their hard drives with other systems and stayed
> with F17 or switched to another distro.
>
> Jiri
>
> [1] http://fedoraproject.org/wiki/Statistics
>
>
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