Partners or Robber Barons of the Skies?

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http://abcnews.go.com/Business/BusinessTravel/story?id=3D5635496&page=3D1

Partners or Robber Barons of the Skies?
American, British Airways and Iberia Want to Team Up, but It Could Mean Far=
e Hikes
By SCOTT MAYEROWITZ
ABC NEWS Business Unit

Aug. 25, 2008 =E2=80=94 A war is brewing over the Atlantic Ocean -- high ab=
ove the ocean.

American Airlines, British Airways and Spanish carrier Iberia are trying to=
 team up in a move that their competitors call monopolistic and say could l=
ead to higher airfare prices.

The three carriers say their joint business agreement will give travelers g=
reater choice, better connections and improved flight schedules. They are s=
eeking immunity from antitrust prosecution here and in Europe.

"If you listen to the alliances, it means consumer benefits out the wazoo,"=
 said Robert Mann, an airline analyst and consultant. "If you look at what =
they are saying to Wall Street, it says the ability to coordinate schedules=
 and pricing, which means eliminating low-fare excess capacity, which would=
 seem to be inherently not consumer-friendly."

Under the proposal, the three airlines would remain independent companies b=
ut would be able to cooperate with schedule planning and pricing. Right now=
 such actions are generally illegal under antitrust laws.

The companies would also expand their codeshare agreements in which one air=
line sells seats on a flight operated by another. For example, a traveler g=
oing from St. Louis, Mo., to London could buy a ticket through American but=
 be on an American jet for the first half of the trip and a British Airways=
 jet for the second leg.

Several airlines already have antitrust immunity for their alliances.

United and German carrier Lufthansa and other members of their Star Allianc=
e have such protection.

Northwest and Dutch airline KLM (now merged with Air France) also have that=
 protection. Delta is merging with Northwest and also is protected from ant=
itrust laws. All of those airlines are part of the SkyTeam alliance.

American, British Airways and Iberia are part of the rival oneworld allianc=
e.

This is the third time that American and British Airways have sought such p=
rotection. The first time was in 1996, when Northwest and KLM partnered and=
 when United and Lufthansa joined forces. The second attempt was in 2002. B=
oth times, the agreement against immunity was that the two airlines control=
led key landing spots at London's Heathrow Airport, one of the most lucrati=
ve markets in the world.

Cheap Flights or Price Hikes?

When the first attempt was rejected, the head of the Justice Department's a=
ntitrust division said in a statement: "The combination of American and Bri=
tish Airways would result in air travelers paying significantly higher fare=
s for travel between the United States and Great Britain."

But that all changed this year when the Open Skies agreement went into effe=
ct, opening up Heathrow a bit to other airlines that had long been regulate=
d out to London's other airports.

Continental, Delta, US Airways and Northwest have all gained landing slots =
at Heathrow because of Open Skies, but Mann says they all want more. He exp=
ects those U.S. carriers to try and block immunity as part of a negotiation=
 to get greater access to Heathrow.

The United States-to-London market is one of the world's biggest, Mann says=
. But more important, because of the flow of business travelers airlines ar=
e able to charge some of the higher premiums for the routes, flights landin=
g at Heathrow instead of one of London's other airports, such as Gatwick, c=
an be 15 percent to 20 percent more expensive.

Mann calls it "potentially one of the most lucrative markets in the world."

Richard Branson, president of Virgin Atlantic, has also raised a ruckus say=
ing such an agreement would "damage competition."

In a letter to both U.S. presidential candidates, Sens. Barack Obama and Jo=
hn McCain, Branson said that "airlines everywhere are struggling with the c=
urrent price of oil, but the solution to their problems should not lie in a=
n anti-competitive agreement, which will inevitably lead to less competitio=
n and higher fares."

Rick Seaney, an ABC News columnist and CEO of FareCompare.com, an airfare s=
earch site, said that competition is the No. 1 driver of airline ticket pri=
cing.

"Any time an airline goes bust, or two or more merge/partner, it means high=
er airline tickets for passengers," Seaney said. "We have already seen mort=
al enemies British Airways and Virgin Atlantic admit to colluding on fuel s=
urcharges and agree to pay tremendous fines. & These antitrust agreements b=
asically make this sort of activity legal."

Better Flight Options

Mann says American and British Airways have some legitimate arguments: Firs=
t, the other airlines have immunity; second, while they do control a little=
 more than half the flights at Heathrow, Star Alliance airlines have a grea=
ter share of flights at Frankfurt and SkyTeam has a larger percentage in Pa=
ris.

Also, airlines can serve certain routes through alliances that they otherwi=
se might not try. For instance, Northwest and its partner KLM had nonstop s=
ervice from Hartford, Conn., to Amsterdam.

"That's a market that frankly would have never been served nonstop without =
an alliance," Mann said.

Richard Aboulafia, an aviation analyst with the Teal Group, says that Iberi=
a is part of the deal because the big airlines want to "bulk up with the ni=
che players before somebody else grabs them."

Iberia also has several key Latin America routes, which can be added to Bri=
tish Airways and American's networks.

"No matter how much you want them or not, you don't want the other guy to b=
ulk up with them," Aboulafia said. "It's all about maintaining that critica=
l-mass global network."

But ultimately, Aboulafia says the deal remains about Heathrow and how much=
 American and British Airways are willing to give up there.

"A lot depends on what they offer as a concession. It does heavily come dow=
n to Heathrow and access," he said. "There is no more lucrative traffic tha=
n North Atlantic Heathrow. The fact is that BA [British Airways] and AA [Am=
erican] will have an extremely strong position there. & There are many nice=
 alternate airfields, many inhabited by unicorns or leprechauns."

Copyright =C2=A9 2008 ABC News Internet Ventures
=0A=0A=0A      

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